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Opening Analysis / Round 1 / Round 2 / Round 3 / Final

Robin Lehner never got the love he deserved - but led all players at the time of elimination.
Robin Lehner never got the love he deserved - but led all players at the time of elimination.

Round 3 Analysis
Rick Bowness will always be known to me as the guy who coached my hometown Ottawa Senators to a 39-178-18 record as an expansion team 28 years ago. Yet here he is, as the interim head coach of the Dallas Stars, in the Stanley Cup finals. After 35 years, mostly as an assistant coach, he has stood behind the bench for over 2,500 NHL games - most in history, and far more than 2nd-place Scotty Bowman's 2,164. Oh, and he "coached" Tampa Bay coach Jon Cooper as his assistant a few years ago. He has coached players on nearly every team in the bubble along with some of their fathers. So everybody's cheering for him to win his first Cup, and why not?

As for Lord Stanley's Pool, Hanna-Marea Kennedy has held on to first place after Vegas' playoff run ground to a halt, two points up on Frank Pileggi and Adam Marrus. With nearly everyone in the top 20 locked in with Tampa players Kucherov, Point, and Vasilevskiy, the only movement will come from challengers S Ripsman and Hugh MacPhie, who need a solid performance from their Dallas players along with, ironically, a Tampa Bay win. A Tampa win will likely look like a battle between Frank, S, and Hugh, while a Dallas championship might have S and Hugh challenge Hanna-Marea for the top prize. Dallas players to watch: Jamie Benn, Alexander Radulov, Tyler Seguin, and top defensemen Miro Heiskanen and John Klingberg.





The contenders
Tampa Bay win Dallas win
Frank Pileggi147 (+10) [proj:166]Kucherov, Point, Vasilevskiy  Hanna-Marea Kennedy149 [proj:168]Kucherov, Point, Vasilevskiy
Hanna-Marea Kennedy149 [proj:168]Kucherov, Point, Vasilevskiy  Adam Marrus147 [proj:166]Kucherov, Point, Vasilevskiy
Adam Marrus147 [proj:166]Kucherov, Point, Vasilevskiy  Frank Pileggi147 [proj:166]Kucherov, Point, Vasilevskiy
S Ripsman135 (+10) [proj: 170]Kucherov, Point, Vasilevskiy, Radulov, Heiskanen, Klingberg  S Ripsman135 [proj: 170]Kucherov, Point, Vasilevskiy, Radulov, Heiskanen, Klingberg
Hugh MacPhie135 (+10) [proj: 163]Kucherov, Point, Seguin, Benn, Hedman  Hugh MacPhie135 [proj: 163]Kucherov, Point, Seguin, Benn, Hedman

Lehner still leads despite elimination
Robin Lehner (4 picks) remains the top player in the pool with 27 points, earned through four shutouts despite only seven wins. Lehner is likely to be the first goalie to lead his position in the pool without making it to the Finals. Unless we see multiple shutouts, Anton Khudobin (17 pts - 0 picks) will likely finish second and Andrei Vasilevskiy (13 pts - 39 picks) possibly third or lower.

Other impact players eliminated in round three: Marc-Andre Fleury (20 picks and... lots of splinters from riding the pine), Mark Stone (79), Shea Theodore (50), Max Pacioretty (35), Mathew Barzal (13).

Kronis' Corner - notes from the pool's stats co-pilot Joel Kronis
The third round was kind of questionable, to begin with we knew the Dallas Stars were a good team, but a Stanley Cup final good team? Well I guess, because they're in the Stanley Cup finals, but at the beginning of the playoffs not in my wildest dreams would they have been there. Going over to the east the Islanders for a second there looked like they might make a run and force game 7 but they didn't and Tampa ended them in game 6. My prediction for the Stanley Cup final is Tampa is five or six.

Mitch's prediction
I called both series wrong in round 3, leaving me at a rather sad 7-7 in series predictions this year. Tampa Bay and Dallas, both big southern markets, are both teams (cities) that never felt right to me having stamped on the Cup (Buffalo on '99 and Calgary in '04 would have been nicer). I'm going with underdog Dallas to win the Cup because of Rick Bowness.

Who's Hot and Who's Not:
Hot Pos. Gain (R2,R3)   Hot Rd3 Pts.
Vince Pileggi 62 (144,82)   S Ripsman 30
Zoe Rabinovitch 56 (138,82)   Hugh MacPhie 29
Austin Neilson 49 (78,29)   Austin Neilson 29
Domenic DeMarco 42 (152,110)   Frank Pileggi 28
Chad Evans 42 (110,68)   Adam Marrus 28
 
Not Pos. Loss (R2,R3)   Not Rd3 Pts.
Tim Day 37 (17,54)   59 People with: 0
John Kane 34 (28,62)  
Blair Miller 32 (11,43)  
Mike Sennema 30 (47,77)  
Azra Champsi 28 (51,79)  
Laura Speciale 28 (51,79)  

Team and Player Stats:
Top Players
Forwards Team Pts Picks
Nikita Kucherov TAM 24 64
Brayden Point TAM 22 28
Nathan MacKinnon COL 22 133
Jamie Benn DAL 18 3
Denis Gurianov DAL 17 0
Mikko Rantanen COL 17 69
Josh Bailey NYI 16 0
Brock Nelson NYI 15 0
J.T. Miller VAN 15 5
Alexander Radulov DAL 14 1
Defense Team Pts Picks
Miro Heiskanen DAL 18 4
John Klingberg DAL 15 4
Shea Theodore VGK 15 50
Victor Hedman TAM 14 26
Cale Makar COL 14 96
Goalies Team Pts Picks
Robin Lehner VGK 27 4
Semyon Varlamov NYI 18 2
Anton Khudobin DAL 17 0
Carter Hart PHI 17 39
Teams
IN Picks Cups
Tampa Bay 180 21
Dallas 25 0
OUT Picks Cups
Vegas 215 29
NY Islanders 27 1

Projected Round 4 Standings

Here are the projected scores and rankings for after round 4, not including the Cup winner bonus. The projection assumes (wrongly, of course) that the players you have alive will produce in round 4 at the same average rate as in the first three rounds. Of course, if you have no players left, you will definitely have the same score as you have now!

(R1)
(R2)
(R3)
Proj. Rank
Name
Score
Alive
Cup
Rd4 Projection
332881S Ripsman1356TBL170
41312Hanna-Marea Kennedy1493COL168
51423Frank Pileggi1473TBL166
51423Adam Marrus1473COL166
232485Hugh MacPhie1355TBL163
5146Richard Gretzinger1462PHI161
491057Mark Brewster1393VGK158
17657Russell Reed1393COL158
161389Brian Dumble1353VGK154
336710Joel Greenstein1372COL152
11017811Todd Foster1352VGK147
23171311Ryan Chirnomas1303COL147
110421513Sandy and Noah Hurst1293VGK146
12281713Brandon Poitras1273COL146
66281915Steven Hawley1263TBL143
66171316Steve Kent1302VGK142
23472617Amy van Steendelaar1213TBL141
17161618Jack Walker1282COL140
73512818Dustin Hall1203COL140
17442520Aaron Allard1223TBL139
23592920Owen Thompson1193COL139
8242222Josh Martin1232COL138
122782922Austin Neilson1193TBL138
110362024Graham Haines1253COL137
41593124Michael Varriano1183TBL137
562226Judah Gould1233COL136
66381727Jonah Rabinovitch1271NYI135
33242227Brenda Dolenc1232COL135
51633127Adrian Terzo1183VGK135
8663927Paul Martin1163TBL135
58473131Sonia Speciale1182COL133
95664132Peter Seemann1153TBL132
144824132Corby Fine1153VGK132
7391234Emiliano Santiago1310VGK131
95473135Vincent Galante1183TBL130
58233535Nolan Sarner1173COL130
58513537Marc De Sousa1173BOS129
1112638Lucas Chua1211PHI128
51825439Larry Coole1093COL126
144423940Andy Hotson1162PHI125
79825740Dryden Craig1083BOS125
222142Mark Norman1240COL124
23665443Shain Griffin1093BOS121
41464844Eddie Bornstein1121BOS120
90745845Barbara Kennedy1073TBL119
110635346Douglas Wilkinson1101COL118
51133547David Loop1170COL117
51133547Marc Ennis1170COL117
1541448249Vince Pileggi963VGK116
3114350Blair Miller1140COL114
33284350Les Endes1140COL114
73596050James Smith1061BOS114
951106850Chad Evans1022VGK114
110384554Grant Gillan1130VGK113
73214554Todd Beaman1130BOS113
41214554Jamie Martin1130COL113
90947054Christopher Cito1013COL113
95284958Andrew Ryan1110BOS111
23244958Ruth Beder1110PHI111
95284958Anthony Bruno1110COL111
95284958Jeff Wood1110BOS111
1101047762Matt Steeves983TBL110
17175463Tim Day1090PHI109
58767063Manny Amaral1012TBL109
1841388263Zoe Rabinovitch963PHI109
33365866Frank Iusi1070PHI107
66887566Pete Ostella991VGK107
1221168666Gary Brewster952VGK107
154516069Zackary Winkler1060VGK106
1221219169Jason MacLellan942VGK106
3286271John Kane1050PHI105
23446372Harris Beder1040COL104
79706372Stanley Tepner1040VGK104
41829672Matthew Pledger923PHI104
12215812072Jessica Thompson843STL104
160816576Rob Phillips1030COL103
12386576Jeff Wener1030COL103
7386576Isaac Nielsen1030BOS103
79948676Shannon Brewster951STL103
41516880Samara McAdam1020PHI102
1361218680Sandra Hennigar951CGY102
6613410380Jeff Williams902COL102
13111110380Della Santin903BOS102
13616112680Donna Thompson823CGY102
23517085James Burnand1010PHI101
95517085Martin Lefebvre1010VGK101
16514210785Shailyn Griffin892TBL101
14415211085Domenic DeMarco873WSH101
122637489Kevin Pinto1000COL100
1361219689Connor Brewster921COL100
18113410089Colin McSweeney913TBL100
110707592Daisy Marqeuz990VGK99
58767992Mohan Krishnamoorthy971PHI99
41477794Mike Sennema980COL98
13112810394Shane Kozlowich901VGK98
12517996Laura Speciale970COL97
12517996Azra Champsi970COL97
33829296Joe Sanfilippo931COL97
11668299Michael McShane960COL96
17598299Alistair Viegas960COL96
337886101Ron Weidner950PHI95
87086101Nolan Coole950PHI95
7994103103Trent Labrecque901BOS94
418292104Rishi Mistry930PHI93
337092104Pierre Allard930BOS93
798892104Mitch Wexler930VGK93
587496107Norrin Ripsman920CAR92
497896107Ava McAdam-Beder920COL92
144172146107Harper Christie-Allard753TBL92
160172149107Joy Smith743TBL92
9594100111Daniel Levay910PHI91
95104100111Marie Loop910BOS91
95104107113Andrew Wood890VGK89
174176155113Colin Kennedy713CHI89
17794109115Daryl McGee880VGK88
79108110116Zack O'Gorman870COL87
15494110116Dave Poitras870BOS87
7988110116Manuela Marinello870BOS87
11088110116George Smith870BOS87
13188110116Kris Tamchy870COL87
79108117116Mike Ash851CBJ87
7993116122Gareth Neilson860MTL86
90138126122David Gibbons821COL86
110150138122Ethan Suski781BOS86
2394117125Amelia Thompson850COL85
7994117125Philip Wilson850STL85
122114120127Francesco Varriano840WSH84
95102120127Mike De Petrillo840BOS84
17102120127Peta Allard840WSH84
58104124130Scott Poitras830BOS83
181134124130Scott Lee830VGK83
122116130130Jack Budd811COL83
181141126133Brandon Kubis820BOS82
95111126133Michael Long821CAR82
90114130135Joel Kronis810COL81
66128130135Carl Pledger810PHI81
170128130135Steve Anderson810COL81
144116130135Joey Speciale810VGK81
110147142135Justin Saindon763TBL81
122128135140Robert Seaser800PHI80
51111135140Dennis Winkler800COL80
95116135140Linda Li800BOS80
160164152140John Budd721BOS80
165161160144Samuel Wexler682BOS79
136116138145Connie Simmons780COL78
136134138145Kamerni Pillay780VGK78
131155152145Don Colangelo722TBL78
23121141148Paul Ornstein770PHI77
144147150148Dan McGee731COL77
73125142150Brett Kirkpatrick760COL76
73125142150Mouli Ramani760COL76
90125142150Lori Winkler760VAN76
131128146153Tim Smith750BOS75
79128146153Stephen Craig750CAR75
136138150155Brad Chagnon730CHI73
154150152156Hugh Freedman720STL72
66142155157Ryan McLennan710CGY71
144145157158Steve Kerlin700CAR70
165152158159Al Champsi690VGK69
122145158159Danny Cameron690COL69
95147160161Scott Drysdale680BOS68
188155160161Michael Sheahan680VGK68
187170163163Sean Sargent650VAN65
184152163163Sam Fielding650COL65
191185179165Emma and Andrew Fielding513CHI64
165161165166Peter Tanner630PHI63
154158165166Zayn Champsi631VGK63
144157167168Sean Smith620COL62
177164167168Andrea De Petrillo620VGK62
110158169170Silvio Memme610BOS61
170172170171Ron Wener600CAR60
191185178171Sajjad Champsi522TBL60
177179176173Chris Smith543BOS59
136164171174Mike van Steendelaar580CHI58
58164171174Katarina Ornstein580PHI58
110164171174Michael Parak580CHI58
154169174177Claudia Scarciolla-Winkler570CGY57
136170175178Paula Santin550MTL55
95175177179Brenden Kennedy530PHI53
144176179180Ryan Thompson510STL51
160178181181John Thompson490CGY49
160180182182Denise Allard460BOS46
165181183183Dennis Clayton450CGY45
170181183183Eli Day450WSH45
177183185185Rachelle Gaudet440CBJ44
174183185185Jamie Sarner440CAR44
186185187187Mike Griffin391BOS41
194189187188Ted Kennedy390WSH39
144188189189Erin Jones370WSH37
170190190190Allan Crisford330CGY33
174191191191Sophie Wexler320STL32
194192192192Campbell Clark-Smith310CHI31
190193193193David Parker300MTL30
196193193193Shawn Morrison300CGY30
197195195195Patrick Plewa270PHI27
188196196196Steve Vinette260CBJ26
191197197197Andrew Mckenzie240CHI24
199198198198Crystal Smalldon221WSH22
198199199199Eli Hammerman170CGY17







Comments, questions, suggestions? E-mail Mitch.