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Opening Analysis / Round 1 / Round 2 / Round 3 / Final

Petr Mrazek
Petr Mrazek's two shutouts made him the top player in round 1 - too bad he lost the series.

Round 1 Analysis
For the second year in a row we have had a relatively low impact on the pool after round one eliminations. 638 picks were eliminated, or 26% of the pool, up from 20% last year due to the parity in the picks this year. 54 Cup picks, 19%, were knocked out.

St. Louis was the only team in the top five, and the only favourite, to go down - 302 picks and 30 Cup selections. The Blues comprised half of the picks and Cups knocked out in round one. Ottawa's 90 was the next biggest team but they were up against a Habs team with more than double the picks.

First round lead
Congratulations to Sarah Wardell on her first round lead with 55 points, rising to claim the honour at the last moment of the last game. Michael Sinclair and Glenn Zyzanski are in second place, one point back while Harper Christie-Allard and Paula Brinston, with 53 points, round out the top five in a tight race. However, Glenn has lost three players while Michael and Paul have lost two each, suggesting a retreat for these poolies in the second round.

See whether you are projected to rise or fall, and where you would rank after round 2 if everything else were the same, in our projections below.

Near-record-low points
The first round leader has only 55 points, the lowest since 2012 and third-lowest ever. The record-low 53 was set in 2007. Despite low scoring overall in the first round and in particular by the top players, there were also few shutouts to pad poolies' performance.

Unscathed or wiped out
There were 71 unscathed entries this year (26% of the total entries), not quite as high as last year's 37%, but still in the normal range. Two entries were completely wiped out in round 1 this year, also in the normal range.

Biggest Bust award - undeserving but awarded anyway
Every year we pick the biggest bust, the player heavily bet on who delivered the least. There have been some pretty huge busts in years past. This year all the favourites performed adequately, if not stellarly, making it very difficult to pick a bust. Top picks Rick Nash and Steven Stamkos didn't light it up, with 4 and 3 points respectively, but they have advanced to the next round - if they get shut out (and eliminated) we may revisit this.

So the award goes to Alex Pietrangelo of the St. Louis Blues, with 2 points for 39 picks. Not the worst performance ever, just the worst for this year.

Biggest busts over the years: 2014 - Krejci; 2013 - Ovechkin; 2012 - Luongo; 2011 - Backstrom; 2010 - Brodeur; 2009 - Nabokov; 2008 - Brodeur; 2007 - Kariya; 2006 - Lidstrom; 2004 - Brodeur; 2003 - Joseph; 2002 - Entire Flyers roster (ok ok: Roenick); 2001 - Yzerman; 2000 - Gonchar; 1999 - Yashin; 1998 - Holik.

Hindsight Award
Congratulations are always due to individuals who take daring picks that pan out. In the "Good While It Lasted" category, Petr Mrazek was the top player in round 1, collecting two shutouts against Tampa Bay but ultimately losing the series. His 13 points led all players by far - and only Hanna-Marea Kennedy picked him.

Round 2 predictions
I know not to bet on Washington or San Jose - ever - so their win was the only blemish on my round 1 picks. I'll take my 7-1 record into round 2 with these picks: Montreal, Rangers, Chicago, Anaheim.

On the outs
Major players on their way out: Tarasenko, StL, 116 picks; Steen, StL, 45; Karlsson, Ott, 41; Pietrangelo, StL, 39; Tavares, NYI, 37; Shattenkirk, StL, 32; Schwartz, StL, 26; Stone, Ott, 22; Byfuglien, Wpg, 19; Backes, StL, 18; D.Sedin, Van, 17; H.Sedin, Van, 16; Crosby, Pit, 15; Weber, Nas, 15; Hammond, Ott, 13.

Team and Player Stats:
Top Players
Forwards Team Pts Picks
Jonathan Toews CHI 8 116
Zach Parise MIN 7 12
Tyler Johnson TAM 7 60
Corey Perry ANA 7 84
Patrick Kane CHI 7 87
Vladimir Tarasenko STL 7 116
Johnny Goudreau CGY 6 9
Filip Forsberg NAS 6 10
Jiri Hudler CGY 6 13
John Tavares NYI 6 37
Nicklas Backstrom WAS 6 47
Defense Team Pts Picks
Kevin Shattenkirk STL 8 32
Duncan Keith CHI 7 76
Nick Leddy NYI 5 3
Sami Vatanen ANA 5 14
11 players 4
Goalies Team Pts Picks
Petr Mrazek DET 13 1
Ben Bishop TAM 10 27
Devan Dubnyk MIN 9 3
Carey Price MON 9 60
Teams
IN  Picks  Cups 
NY Rangers 447 79
Chicago 340 41
Tampa Bay 296 25
Anaheim 251 18
Montreal 228 36
Washington 187 15
Calgary 41 3
Minnesota 29 2
OUT Picks Cups
St. Louis 302 30
Ottawa 90 12
NY Islanders 56 1
Winnipeg 51 3
Nashville 47 4
Vancouver 38 3
Detroit 27 1
Pittsburgh 27 0

Projected Round 2 Standings

Here are the projected scores and rankings for after round 2. The projection assumes (wrongly, of course) that the remaining players will produce in round 2 at the exact same rate as in round 1. For example, Ben Bishop would get another 10 points while Stamkos would only get 3.

LOST=Players Lost in Round 1
IMP=Impact (pts. by lost players)
IMP%=Impact as % of total pts.

R1 Rank
Proj. Rank
Name
R2 Projection
R1 Pts.
Lost
IMP
IMP%
Cup
11Sarah Wardell11055000.0%ANA
22Michael Sinclair10854000.0%CHI
43Harper Christie-Allard10653000.0%TBL
64Pasqi Porco10452000.0%NYR
105Dave Spedding10251000.0%TBL
166Blair Phillips10050000.0%ANA
166Sherri Rowe10050000.0%CHI
166Andrea Ford10050000.0%MTL
49Paula Brinston99532713.2%CHI
610Don Fudge98521611.5%MTL
2210Tim Smith9849000.0%WSH
2210Shane Davey9849000.0%NYR
613Aron Slipacoff97521713.5%TBL
1014Brendan Browne96511611.8%MTL
2914Alexander Bondarenko9648000.0%MTL
2914Cooper Levens9648000.0%CHI
1017Matt MacDougall94512815.7%CHI
3717Norrin Ripsman9447000.0%TBL
3717Dave Michael9447000.0%MTL
3717Todd Nemisz9447000.0%NYR
3717Al Champsi9447000.0%NYR
2922Kento Onishi9248148.3%TBL
2922Ryan Chirnomas9248148.3%MTL
2922Don Colangelo9248148.3%CHI
4322Ryan Slack9246000.0%ANA
4322Donna Thompson9246000.0%ANA
4322Ken Wilcox9246000.0%NYR
4322Erin Jones9246000.0%NYR
4322Dustin Hall9246000.0%CHI
4322Ross Brennan9246000.0%NYR
4322Maria De Marco9246000.0%ANA
232Glenn Zyzanski905431833.3%TBL
3732Dave Crowley9047148.5%NYR
6232Jim Doucette9045000.0%NYR
6232Anthony Fernando9045000.0%NYR
6232Elizabeth Klein9045000.0%WSH
6232Silvio Memme9045000.0%MTL
1638Colin Kennedy895031122.0%TBL
638Aaron Allard895221528.8%TBL
7940Brad Hotson8844000.0%MIN
7940David Loop8844000.0%NYR
7940Edward Levens8844000.0%NYR
7940Eric Flint8844000.0%CHI
7940Mel McNulty8844000.0%WSH
7940Sean McCormick8844000.0%NYR
7940Paula Santin8844000.0%MTL
7940Michael Sheahan8844000.0%ANA
7940Tim Sowden8844000.0%CHI
1049Todd Foster875121529.4%NYR
2249Jessica Pigeon874921122.4%NYR
6251Nigel Fowler8645148.9%MIN
6251Dave Quist8645148.9%MTL
6251David Stemmler8645148.9%NYR
7951Austin Neilson8644124.5%MTL
9851Joy Smith8643000.0%NYR
9851Daniel Steinberg8643000.0%CHI
9851Ron Wener8643000.0%NYR
9851Blair Miller8643000.0%NYR
9851Kevin Boomer8643000.0%NYR
9851Ethan Craig8643000.0%NYR
1661Matthew Warner855021530.0%NYR
2961Mouli Ramani854821122.9%MTL
4361Doug Crockett85461715.2%NYR
4361Scott Anson85461715.2%NYR
4361Bill Garrity85461715.2%CHI
4361Ava McAdam-Beder85461715.2%CHI
1067Nolan Sarner845131835.3%STL
12367Carl Pledger8442000.0%CHI
12367Moishe Wallach8442000.0%MTL
12367Joel Greenstein8442000.0%TBL
1071Shannon Brewster835131937.3%MTL
2971Fraser Macdonald834831327.1%TBL
4371Stefano Picone83462919.6%MTL
6271Jonathan Carter83452715.6%MTL
6271David Valenti83451715.6%NYR
12371Samara McAdam8342112.4%NYR
12371David Lester8342112.4%CHI
4378Joan Coveny824631021.7%STL
14078David Hart8241000.0%CHI
14078Patrick Mitchell8241000.0%NYR
14078Scott Poitras8241000.0%ANA
1682Stuart Klein815031938.0%TBL
2282James Yanyk814931734.7%NYR
6282Marko Groesch81452920.0%MTL
6282Keith Chappell81452920.0%MTL
2286Alexandre Lavoie804931836.7%STL
4386Mark Norman804631226.1%VAN
6286Kenneth Glonek804531022.2%MTL
7986Andrea Phillips80443818.2%OTT
15486Molly McNulty8040000.0%NYR
15486Frank Pileggi8040000.0%CHI
15486Mike Coates8040000.0%MTL
7993Brenden Kennedy79442920.5%NYR
12393Duncan Campbell79422511.9%CHI
9893Mohan Krishnamoorthy79431716.3%NYR
14093Lindsey Baldwin7941137.3%CHI
4397Judah Gould784631430.4%ANA
6297Amy van Steendelaar784531226.7%ANA
7997Allan Boynton784421022.7%NYR
16997Pierre Maxime Gravelle7839000.0%CHI
16997Kyle Hogg7839000.0%CHI
16997Mike Melanson7839000.0%TBL
16997Gareth Neilson7839000.0%MTL
16997Samuel Wexler7839000.0%CHI
16997Avery Spedding7839000.0%NYR
16997Jessica Thompson7839000.0%CHI
22107Jim Lindsay774942142.9%TBL
22107Andrew Mckenzie774932142.9%NYR
79107Desmond Desrosier774431125.0%TBL
43107John Thompson774621532.6%ANA
98107Brandon Poitras77432920.9%TBL
98107Scott Lee77432920.9%NYR
169107Randy Stewart7739112.6%NYR
79114Pat Entably764431227.3%CGY
79114Matt Hartley764431227.3%MTL
98114Patrick Gill764331023.3%OTT
140114Jamie Sarner76413614.6%OTT
182114Stacy Martin7638000.0%CHI
182114David Van Kula7638000.0%NYR
182114Laura Speciale7638000.0%WSH
182114Kevin Hoey7638000.0%NYR
37122Nancy Hotson754731940.4%NYR
79122Eli Hammerman754431329.5%STL
98122Stefano Pileggi754331125.6%ANA
79122Vince DiNucci754421329.5%CHI
98122Paul Martin754321125.6%MTL
62127Connor Brewster744541635.6%WSH
62127Brett Kirkpatrick744541635.6%TBL
79127Jonas Struthers744431431.8%MTL
98127Zack O'Gorman744331227.9%NSH
98127Gabe Pretto744331227.9%STL
123127Kevin Pinto744231023.8%CHI
182127Ryan Dempsey7438325.3%TBL
123127Thomas Cheyne Matheson744221023.8%WSH
154127Alvin Gainforth74402615.0%NYR
182127Cooper Levens7438225.3%CHI
154127Azra Champsi74401615.0%CHI
43138Brock Vandrick734631941.3%STL
98138Jeff Brinston734331330.2%WSH
98138Chad Evans734331330.2%MTL
98138Campbell Clark-Smith734331330.2%MTL
98138Dennis Clayton734331330.2%STL
98138Brandon Kubis734321330.2%ANA
140138Allan Curtis73412922.0%NYR
29145Steve Sealy724852450.0%TBL
123145George Smith724231228.6%MTL
123145Ira-Clarke Jackaman-Slipacoff724231228.6%VAN
140145Douglas Wilkinson724131024.4%NYR
154145Colin McSweeney72403820.0%NYR
154145Stacey Hartley72403820.0%STL
154145Mitch Wexler72403820.0%OTT
202145Andrew Rudy7236000.0%NYR
202145Max-Zeb Jackaman-Slipacoff7236000.0%NYR
98154Rob Schonberger714341534.9%STL
98154Peta Allard714321534.9%NYR
140154Rachelle Gaudet714121126.8%NYR
62157Jeff Snow704552044.4%TBL
98157Kelby Miles704351637.2%MTL
43157Jordan Ungerman704642247.8%WSH
123157Mike Newbauer704231433.3%STL
169157Dave Poitras70392820.5%WSH
182157Mike van Steendelaar70382615.8%CHI
182157Andy Hotson70381615.8%NYR
218157Janine Pileggi7035000.0%CHI
218157Terry Hoey7035000.0%NYR
218157Owen Thompson7035000.0%CHI
123167Shawn Glassford694241535.7%STL
98167Jaime Caeiro694331739.5%NYR
140167Rob Phillips694131331.7%STL
140167Lee Beech694131331.7%CHI
98171Angela Yanyk684341841.9%NYR
140171Corby Fine684131434.1%NYR
182171Becke Gainforth68383821.1%OTT
202171Randy Murray68361411.1%NYR
231171Daryl McGee6834000.0%CHI
43176Vincent Galante674652554.3%STL
98176Brad Moulton674331944.2%STL
169176Barrett Boitson673931128.2%CGY
202176Mark Coatsworth67362513.9%TBL
154180Christopher Mossey664041435.0%TBL
123180Sam Fielding664231842.9%NYR
182180David Schamma663831026.3%WSH
202180Liz Yorke66361616.7%MTL
244180Marie Loop6633000.0%CHI
244180Larry Coole6633000.0%NYR
154186Andrew MacIntyre654041537.5%CHI
123186Graham Haines654231945.2%WSH
140186Sean Smith654131741.5%NYR
154186Krista Bensette654031537.5%STL
244186Gavin Bailey6533113.0%NYR
182191Leif Malling643841231.6%VAN
140191Andrew Ryan644131843.9%STL
182191Lanny Cardow643831231.6%NYR
199191Ruth Haaima643731027.0%ANA
256191Dan Andreae6432000.0%WSH
169196Mark Brewster633941538.5%TBL
154196Diego DeMarco634031742.5%NYR
202196Fred Slade63362925.0%MTL
218196Emma and Andrew Fielding63352720.0%WSH
218196Jason Elfaks63351720.0%NYR
218196Ian Winsor63351720.0%ANA
256196Laura Tackaberry6332113.1%ANA
123203Rylee Hartley624262252.4%CHI
123203Matt Seiler624252252.4%STL
154203Martha Gill624051845.0%TBL
202203Ted Kennedy623641027.8%OTT
182203Chris Smith623831436.8%MTL
182203Tyler Robinson623831436.8%TBL
231203Nolan Coole62343617.6%NYR
244203S Ripsman62333412.1%MTL
231203Brendan Hoey62342617.6%NYR
169212Cindy Chen613941743.6%NYR
182212Matthew Brenner613841539.5%STL
231212Michael Lau61343720.6%MTL
140215Elena Noble604142253.7%NYR
202215Sal Scarfone603631233.3%NYR
218215Mike De Petrillo603531028.6%STL
262215Shane Kozlowich6031326.5%WPG
62219Martin Lefebvre594563168.9%NYI
199219Scott Munnoch593741540.5%NSH
202219Pierre Allard593631336.1%STL
218219Russell Reed593531131.4%NYR
218219Dryden Craig593531131.4%STL
154224Adam Bloedow584062255.0%OTT
202224Chris Thombs583631438.9%NYR
123226Adam Jamieson574252764.3%ANA
169226Stuart MacIntyre573952153.8%STL
202226Natalie MacDonell573651541.7%OTT
202226Darlene Boitson573651541.7%OTT
202226Ruth Beder573641541.7%STL
202226Jimmy Harpell573641541.7%CHI
231226Stephen Craig573431132.4%NYR
244226Craig Endicott57333927.3%NYR
256226Noah Bloedow57322721.9%CHI
202235Peter Hogg563641644.4%NYR
231235Denis Valente563441235.3%MTL
231235Aidan Hoey563431235.3%NYR
154238Peter Tanner554062562.5%MTL
202238Alex Cho-Kee553641747.2%STL
244238Patrizia Locondro553331133.3%NYR
256238Jacqui Snow55323928.1%NYR
262238Chris Crawford55313722.6%CHI
182243Sharon Boitson543862257.9%CGY
231243Mike Siegler543461441.2%TBL
218243Reuben-Apollo Jackaman-Slipacoff543541645.7%WSH
262243Matthew Pledger54313825.8%NYR
182247Della Santin533862360.5%ANA
244247George Crothers533331339.4%NYR
244249Siyeon Lee523331442.4%STL
199250Chris Aubin513762362.2%STL
218250Todd Beaman513551954.3%OTT
256250Ryan Thompson513231340.6%STL
270250Barry Potter51273311.1%MTL
218254Dan Leggieri503562057.1%STL
262254Evan Hoey503131238.7%NYR
231256Aaron Pretto493461955.9%ANA
244256Whitt Newbauer493361751.5%CHI
269258Kovi Smolack48285828.6%WPG
266258Jay Dart483031240.0%NYR
231260Sophie Wexler473462161.8%CHI
268260Hugh Freedman472931137.9%CHI
256262Sean Sargent463261856.3%WSH
231262Richard Gretzinger463452264.7%NSH
231262Elliott Silverstein463452264.7%MTL
244262Barbara Kennedy463352060.6%NYR
244262Harris Beder463352060.6%NYR
218267Hanna-Marea Kennedy433572777.1%DET
266267Luke McEachnie433061756.7%NSH
231269Karen Savoie383483088.2%OTT
271269Vince Pileggi382661453.8%STL
244271Ron Ego3333933100.0%STL
273272Paul Groba292061155.0%OTT
272273Daryl McGee2525925100.0%WPG







Comments, questions, suggestions? E-mail Mitch.