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Opening Analysis / Round 1 / Round 2 / Round 3 / Final

Mark Scheifele
Mark Scheifele, the leading scorer among remaining players, set an NHL record with seven goals on the road against Nashville.

Round 2 Analysis
A high-octane first half of the pool will give way to big changes in the second half. Lots of scoring, plenty of shutouts, and little bit of face licking led to record-tying pool totals. But with Boston's big numbers and the two top teams (Nashville and Pittsburgh) all eliminated, the top 50 have few players remaining.

The big questions will be how long it takes for the rest of the pool to catch up, and whether there will be enough offence and enough games remaining for them to do it.

Scott Poitras and Joey Speciale were tied for the lead with 135 points - tying the record-high score after two rounds set in 2009. Stephen Weir, two points back in third, had 70 points in Round 2, the second highest ever (record 78 R2 points also set in 2009). But both Scott and Stephen have only three players reaining, while Joey has been wiped out.

In the Top 50 only five poolies have more than six players remaining - three with seven players, one with eight and one with nine. Five of the top ten and nine of the top 50 have no players left.

Watch for these names
A look at the projections below shows that there is indeed a lot of room for upward movement. An entirely new top 10 is projected by the end of round 3, with an entry as low as 64th (Robert Struthers) within range of the leaderboard. Joy Smith, the top entry with a full nine, has the inside track to lead while King James (Jacob) projects second, followed by Ted and Barbara Kennedy and Larry Coole rounding out the top five if all players continue at their current pace. See the projections below.

Full deck
Congrats to the following five people who still have a full deck of nine players remaining, plus a few with 8 or 7:

Joy Smith - 32nd, R3 Projection: 1, VGK to win, WAS, TAM 3 each, Fleury in net

Robert Struthers - 64th, R3 Projection: 6, WPG to win, WAS, TAM 3 each

Ryan Dempsey - 202nd, R3 Projection: 62, TAM to win, WPG, VGK 3 each

Rahul Gangolli - 211th, R3 Projection: 63, TAM to win, WPG, VGK 3 each

Fred Brown - 211th, R3 Projection: 63, TAM to win, WAS, VGK 3 each

8 players:

Barbara Ellen Kennedy - 43rd, R3 Projection: 4, WAS to win, 3 WPG, 2 VGK

7 players:

King James (Jacob) - 15th, R3 Projection: 2, WAS to win, 2 VGK, 2 WAS, Fleury in net

Larry Coole - 27th, R3 Projection: 4, TAM to win, 2 WPG, 2 VGK, Fleury in net

Ryan Chirnomas - 48th, R3 Projection: 6, VGK to win, 3 WAS, 1 WPG, Fleury in net

Tom Sheahan - 56th, R3 Projection: 11, WAS to win, 3 WPG, 1 TAM

Jacqui Snow - 59th, R3 Projection: 18, WAS to win, 3 VGK, 1 TAM, Fleury in net

Tim Bailey - 70th, R3 Projection: 20, TAM to win, 2 WPG, 2 WAS

Steve Kerlin - 122nd, R3 Projection: 22, WAS to win, 2 TAM, 1 WPG, 1 VGK, Fleury in net

Biggest comeback?
The question was asked what was the biggest deficit after round 2 that was overcome to land in the final top three. A look back in the standings reveals the answer came just last year. In 2017 Matt Steeves was 27 points behind the leader after round 2, and came back to win. The lowest round 2 standing to come back was Dennis Clayton in 2011, 67th place to first. In terms of the podium finishes, last year Jessica Thompson - who had numerous late-round comebacks in her four year dynasty - was 38 points back in 89th after round 2 and rallied to finish second, the biggest podium comeback in both points and standing.

Top players eliminated
To re-enforce why the top of the standings are so vulnerable, consider this. All of the top five scorers have been eliminated, and most of the top 10 defensemen (other than Dustin Byfuglien and John Carlson in first and third).

Mitch's predictions
Like many people I was wrong in picking Pittsburgh to defeat Washington for the millionth year in a row. So that was my only mistake so far this year... 11-1 is much better than my usual mediocre showing! For round three I'm going to predict the stopping of the unstoppable Vegas train, and I'm sticking with Tampa because that was my pick (honesty is the best policy!), even though the Caps have embarrassed them the first two games. Winnipeg vs Tampa in the final, see you there.

Who's Hot and Who's Not:
Fred Slade and Stephen Weir were the hottest poolies in round two, with Fred jumping from 217th to 39th and Stephen topping the list with 70 points to move into third place in the pool. Here are the Hot and Not lists for round two:

Hot Pos. Gain (R1, R2)   Hot Rd2 Pts.
Fred Slade 178 (217,39)   Stephen Weir 70
Cody Cabral 164 (228,64)   Al Champsi 69
Tom Sheahan 161 (217,56)   Dan Meister 68
Eli Hammerman 158 (217,59)   Fred Slade 68
Angelo DiCintio 152 (254,102)   King James (Jacob) 67
  Shawn Robichaud 67
Not Pos. Loss (R1, R2)   Not Rd2 Pts.
Erin McSweeney 205 (57,262)   Yoon Sup Lee 0
Sara Morris Colter 149 (168,317)   Crystal Smalldon 10
Bruce Bird 134 (26,160)   David Lester 15
Sam Kronis 133 (33,166)   Frank Pileggi 15
Mouli Ramani 129 (144,273)   Sara Morris Colter 16

Team and Player Stats:
Top Players
Forwards Team Pts Picks
Jake Guentzel PIT 21 0
Sidney Crosby PIT 21 177
David Pastrnak BOS 20 36
Brad Marchand BOS 17 81
Patrice Bergeron BOS 16 35
Mark Scheifele WPG 16 51
Filip Forsberg NAS 16 145
Alex Ovechkin WAS 15 65
Blake Wheeler WPG 15 131
Paul Stastny WPG 14 1
Ryan Johansen NAS 14 19
Evgeny Kuznetsov WAS 14 31
Defense Team Pts Picks
Dustin Byfuglien WPG 13 43
Torey Krug BOS 12 34
John Carlson WAS 11 40
Kris Letang PIT 11 47
P.K. Subban NAS 9 157
Matthias Ekholm NAS 8 0
Justin Schultz PIT 8 1
Goalies Team Pts Picks
Marc-Andre Fleury VGK 28 24
Connor Hellebuyck WPG 18 49
Pekka Rinne NAS 17 151
Martin Jones SAN 16 3
Matt Murray PIT 16 24
Teams
IN  Picks  Cups 
Tampa Bay 452 50
Winnipeg 376 40
Washington 164 12
Vegas 141 10
OUT Picks Cups
Nashville 601 114
Pittsburgh 550 49
Boston 222 28
San Jose 100 4

Projected Round 3 Standings

Here are the projected scores and rankings for after round 3. The projection assumes (wrongly, of course) that the players you have alive will produce in round 3 at the same average rate as in rounds 0 1 and 2. So Marc-Andre Fleury would need another 2 shutouts and 4 wins.

(R1)
(R2)
Proj. Rank
Name
Score
Alive
Cup
Rd3 Projection
57321Joy Smith1179VGK175
57152King James (Jacob)1267WSH174
3123Ted Kennedy1276WPG168
86274Larry Coole1207TBL167
70434Barbara Kennedy1158WSH167
168486Ryan Chirnomas1147VGK166
26646Robert Struthers1119WPG166
26108Marcia Chappell1285VGK163
1129Manny Amaral1275TBL161
702310Matt Steeves1225BOS158
2175611Tom Sheahan1137WSH157
3112Scott Poitras1353NSH155
26312Stephen Weir1333NSH155
152612Doug Frazier1215WPG155
223212Paul Morrison1176WPG155
514312David Schamma1156BOS155
2173917Fred Slade1166TBL154
1105917Jacqui Snow1127WSH154
333219Peter Seemann1176PIT153
1447019Tim Bailey1107TBL153
6621Nigel Fowler1293WPG152
332921Austin Neilson1185VGK152
61223Mark Brewster1273WPG151
704824Mike Lapenna1146TBL150
2177024Max-Zeb Jackaman-Slipacoff1106TBL150
7012224Steve Kerlin1037WSH150
1445627Gavin Bailey1136NSH149
335927Dan Cleveland1126TBL149
335927Shane Kozlowich1126WPG149
1266427Kapil Khatter1116TBL149
15631Dave Poitras1293BOS148
861531Al Champsi1263NSH148
404833Graham Haines1146NSH147
7010833Blair Phillips1066WPG147
2286435Cody Cabral1116NSH145
577035Kris Tamchy1106TBL145
701737Shawn Robichaud1253NSH144
861737Dan Meister1253NSH144
222337Nick Yu1223BOS144
406437Daryl McGee1116PIT144
25410237Angelo DiCintio1076WPG144
192142Jim Mehan1233NSH143
1848442Greg Devillers1086TBL143
1978442Dennis Clayton1086PIT143
578442Andrew Mckenzie1086VGK143
1848442Russell Reed1086PIT143
5716042Paula Santin996WPG143
705648Sophie Wexler1135PIT142
1687848Sandra Hennigar1095NSH142
1107848Greg Jones1095WPG142
1687848Shawn Morrison1096NSH142
337848Elizabeth Klein1096NSH142
708448Alan Eng1086TBL142
8616648Stephen Craig986WSH142
222155Ron Ego1233NSH141
7010855Jamie Sarner1065WPG141
1688455Jordan Reznick1086TBL141
151058Alvin Gainforth1282NSH140
152758John Upper1203PIT140
407058Lauren Wyman1105WSH140
33320261Ryan Dempsey939TBL139
514862Andrew Wood1143BOS138
2175962Eli Hammerman1125NSH138
1977862Joel Kronis1095NSH138
26721162Fred Brown929TBL138
32021162Rahul Gangolli929TBL138
702967Darrin Husack1183PIT137
12613867Blair Miller1016TBL137
513269Martin Lefebvre1173BOS136
1564369Nolan Ash1154NSH136
8610869Mitch Wexler1065WPG136
18414669Elena Noble1006WPG136
3173Joey Speciale1350NSH135
133273John Mullins1173WSH135
263973Christopher Mossey1163WPG135
573973Ron Wener1163BOS135
22817673Jacob Johnson975TOR135
193278Sal Scarfone1173NSH134
21713078Glenn Zyzanski1026TBL134
24316678Joel Greenstein986TBL134
12611581Tim Sowden1045PIT133
16812281Djen Choo1035TBL133
20616681Maria French986WPG133
28017681Fred McCutcheon976TBL133
15621181Nathan Slack926VGK133
11486Bryan Hill1320NSH132
403286Linda Veryzer1172PIT132
863986Manuela Marinello1163NSH132
266486Jack Walker1113NSH132
14412286Steven Rhodes1033TOR132
15616086Todd Nemisz996TBL132
32022286Lee Beech916VGK132
2593Colin McSweeney1310PIT131
407093Paul Lepage1103PIT131
18411593Samuel Bradbury1044PIT131
12614693Mike Johnson1006WSH131
20622293Jean Greenstein916WPG131
404898Kevin Boomer1143NSH130
1847098Jeff Wener1103PIT130
19714698Nolan Coole1004WSH130
66101Harper Christie-Allard1290NSH129
66101Corey Dickson1290NSH129
4070101Shannon Lindensmith1103NSH129
184122101Mohan Krishnamoorthy1035NSH129
5178105Brandon Poitras1093NSH128
8684105Erin Ash1083NSH128
126102105Andrew Rudy1074NSH128
126102105Jason MacLellan1074TBL128
254242105Reuben-Apollo Jackaman-Slipacoff886WPG128
126112110Azra Champsi1054NSH127
290146110Thomas Cheyne Matheson1005WPG127
156196110Stuart MacIntyre946WPG127
5759113JP Faubert1123NSH126
228108113Shane Davey1063NSH126
206146113Sean Sargent1004NSH126
70185113Michelle Heaphy965NSH126
110211113Marie Sealy925WPG126
228247113Chris Hebb876TOR126
1417119Nolan Sarner1250BOS125
4048119Neil Poitras1142NSH125
21770119David Gibbons1103BOS125
86138119Stacy Martin1013WPG125
70146119Shailyn Griffin1004BOS125
206146119Todd Foster1005NSH125
1020125Brett Kirkpatrick1240BOS124
5143125Matthew Warner1152PIT124
206146125Peter Tanner1005WPG124
156202125Cooper Levens935WPG124
126242125David Hart886WPG124
86112130Anthony Fernando1053NSH123
217122130Geoff Hebb1033PIT123
8684132Steven Hawley1083TBL122
8684132Keith Chappell1083NSH122
8684132Don Colangelo1083NSH122
8684132Aaron Allard1083NSH122
8684132David Loop1083NSH122
14484132Matthew Pledger1083NSH122
8684132Andrew Ryan1083NSH122
8684132Avery Spedding1083TBL122
8684132Ryan Slack1083NSH122
8684132Douglas Wilkinson1083NSH122
86115132Michael McShane1043PIT122
22146132Aaron Pretto1003WPG122
57115132Tom Nicholl1044PIT122
33166132Sam Kronis984PIT122
126185132Randy Stewart965NSH122
184233147Brad EJ Hotson895VGK121
280256147Marc Ennis856CBJ121
8684149David Valenti1082NSH120
40102149Luke McEachnie1073NSH120
184138149Scott Munnoch1013NSH120
26160149Bruce Bird993TOR120
228202149Joan Coveny935WPG120
316196149Michael Lau946TBL120
3348155Steve Corda1141NSH119
11048155Evan Hoey1141NSH119
144166155Paul Groba983WPG119
126166155Fraser Macdonald983TOR119
184166155Dan Salerno983PIT119
110185155Brian Secord964WPG119
1129161Erin Jones1180SJS118
5164161Chris Boyle1111PIT118
86115161Mary Morrison1043NSH118
144115161Mitchell Prudence1043NSH118
40160161George Smith993PIT118
86192161Neha Jethra953PIT118
280202161Kerry McShane935TBL118
110122168Vince Pileggi1033PIT117
70176168Brad Hotson973WPG117
70176168Jeff Ware973NSH117
267192168Duncan Campbell954TOR117
206256168Laurena Clark855TOR117
86102173Shaun Tanna1072NSH116
110130173Max Porebski1023TBL116
184138173Matt Hartley1013NSH116
110146173Mike De Petrillo1003NSH116
267146173Travis Bergin1003PIT116
110146173Aron Slipacoff1003NSH116
1943179Shain Griffin1150BOS115
126130179Stacey Hartley1022PIT115
57130179Jeff Lucas1022NSH115
110130179Lucas Chua1023TBL115
144138179Gary Brewster1013NSH115
168185179Richard Rikkonen963TOR115
126196179Silvio Memme943WPG115
290222179Jack Budd915TBL115
303233179Brian Bird895NSH115
168115188Greg Baca1042NSH114
57138188Andrew Cionga1012SJS114
126176188Sean Desjardins973NSH114
144185188Geraldine Comeau963PIT114
184160188Samuel Wexler994NSH114
144211188Dave Bagnell924TBL114
228242188Amy van Steendelaar885TBL114
243146195Jami Bernier1003NSH113
110211195Emma and Andrew Fielding923WPG113
254247195Kovi Smolack875WPG113
57112198Trevor Harding1051NSH111
144160198Tamara Kronis992PIT111
206166198Todd Beaman983PIT111
126176198Peta Allard973SJS111
168211198Domenic DeMarco923TOR111
267230198Milton Howe904NSH111
316292198Chiara Cerzosimo766WPG111
110122205Hugh McShane1031PIT110
156176205Kamerni Pillay972NSH110
168176205Anna Kwan972NSH110
57185205Molly McNulty963PIT110
184185205John French963BOS110
267202205Jason Collette933NSH110
156222205Natalie MacDonell913NSH110
311233205Brian Hoang894NSH110
156146213Edward Levens1002NSH109
126230213Ethan Suski902PIT109
168192213Becke Gainforth953NSH109
243233213Ruth Haaima893PIT109
303298213Jay Dart756TBL109
228196218Isaac Nielsen942NSH108
168202218Tim Smith933TBL108
254242218Dave Quist883BOS108
280254218Dolores Salken863TOR108
280262218Brock Vandrick844PIT108
243262218Farmer Lapenna845WSH108
156102224Amelia Thompson1070PIT107
206202224Brie Bento933NSH107
168211224Allen Hou923TBL107
267247224Laura Maratta875PIT107
197211228Elan Gershone923NSH106
267222228Ryan Thompson913TBL106
254256228King James (Josh)855TBL106
316303231Andrew Robichaud736TOR105
228222232Kento Onishi913TBL104
328282232Laura Tackaberry805TBL104
197122234John Thompson1030BOS103
126211234Andy Hotson922NSH103
254222234Jonas Struthers912TOR103
290262234S Ripsman843BOS103
280278234Stephanie Robichaud813VGK103
303278234Brad Moulton813TOR103
254284234Craig Endicott793WPG103
86130241Connor Brewster1020BOS102
110130241Ethan Craig1020NSH102
126130241Ronnie Weidner1020NSH102
126233241Carter Dwornikiewicz892BOS102
267247241Frank Iusi873TOR102
254278241Mike Siegler813WPG102
243312241Hugh MacPhie696WSH102
26138248Maria De Marco1010PIT101
144138248Vincent Galante1010NSH101
228282248Parvinder Saini803WPG101
156196251Rachel Sinclair941NSH100
303242251Ben Smith882BOS100
206254251Stefano Picone863PIT100
254256251Adrian Terzo853NSH100
168256251David Cummings853TBL100
228256251Aislyn Ash853TBL100
243196257Trish Robichaud941NSH99
206247257Phil Victor873PIT99
40166259Kara Rive980PIT98
110166259Mel McNulty980NSH98
217307259Dave Michael714TOR98
70176262Matt MacDougall970TOR97
267262262Michael Varriano843TBL97
168192264Mathew Seemann950NSH95
168233264Jordana Wexler891PIT95
217270264Patrick O'Keefe833NSH95
197284264Peter Jay793TBL95
197233268Richard Crowe891NSH94
267278268KC Swink813TBL94
303310268John Walsh704PIT94
156202271Elliott Silverstein930NSH93
197202271David Litwin930NSH93
243286271Shannon Brewster783TBL93
156211274Sean Smith920TOR92
228247274Benoit Larocque871NSH92
243307274Rachelle Gaudet713WPG92
110222277Alex Cleveland910NSH91
197262277Richard Sookraj841TOR91
296288277Carl Pledger773NSH91
296292277Mark Norman763NSH91
311305277Leif Malling723WPG91
206230282David DeVries900NSH90
144273282Mouli Ramani822PIT90
296317282Hanna-Marea Kennedy683VGK90
110233285Denise Allard890LAK89
254233285Samara McAdam890NSH89
228262285Dustin Hall841NSH89
228262288Kristoff Porebski841TOR88
267270288Brandon Kubis831BOS88
57262288Erin McSweeney842PIT88
243247291Steve Sealy870NSH87
320303291Sam Fielding733NSH87
316310293Judah Gould703NSH84
267270294Richard Tattersall830NSH83
280273295Owen Thompson820PIT82
280273295Jeff Wood820NSH82
254273295Ruth Beder820TOR82
228273295Della Santin820BOS82
303298295Mike Griffin753BOS82
311312295Richard Gretzinger693TOR82
296317295Pierre Allard683LAK82
296317295Dave Spedding683TBL82
326317295Kevin Pinto683TBL82
333317295Ava McAdam-Beder683TBL82
303334295Marie Loop613WPG82
341312306Dryden Craig693NSH81
328323306Rob Phillips673NSH81
331326306Jessica Thompson663TBL81
336334306Tommy Juranka613TOR81
280312310Josh Epstein692PIT80
348323311Chris Smith673TOR79
336326311Rica French663TOR79
303286313Donna Thompson780BOS78
217323313Colin Kennedy672TOR78
320330313Andrew MacIntyre652LAK78
320326313Hugh Freedman663NSH78
335330313Aaron Beder653TBL78
290288318Scott Lee770NSH77
290288318Siyeon Lee770NSH77
290288318Norrin Ripsman770NSH77
343332318Zack O'Gorman644NSH77
243292322Jono Schneider760PIT76
280292322Chris Bolger760NJD76
254292322Diego DeMarco760NSH76
311292322Desmond Desrosier760BOS76
184307322Janine Pileggi711PIT76
267298327Harris Beder750NSH75
243301328Jeffrey Burke740PIT74
254301328Shawn Glassford740NSH74
326326328Stefano Pileggi662TOR74
339339328Laura Speciale553LAK74
350343328Ryan McLennan523LAK74
344339333Drew Michael554SJS73
228305334Michael Sinclair720TOR72
296336334Stanley Tepner593BOS72
168317336Sara Morris Colter681TOR70
217312337Yoon Ok Lee690BOS69
320333338Michael Parak621BOS67
336339338Alex Foroozandeh552TOR67
341342340Luke Borda543TOR64
347345341Mike van Steendelaar513LAK61
311336342Chris Hill590NSH59
296338343Frank Pileggi560TOR56
331343344Gareth Neilson520ANA52
344348344David Lester422TOR52
339345346Adam Bloedow510BOS51
349347347Brenden Kennedy460LAK46
344349347Crystal Smalldon372TBL46
3283347Michael Sheahan495WSH46
328350350Yoon Sup Lee350CBJ35







Comments, questions, suggestions? E-mail Mitch.