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Opening Analysis / Round 1 / Round 2 / Round 3 / Final

Stuart Skinner
Stuart Skinner's shutout had the biggest impact on the leaderboard in round 1.

Round 1 Analysis
The big surprise in Round 1 was perhaps that there were no surprises. All of the higher-seeded teams won their rounds, and the only pool-favoured team to lose was Toronto, with 182 player picks and 28 Cup picks by the long-suffering Leafs fans in this pool.

No big upsets, minimal impact on the pool
After the huge losses in round 1 last year (51.5% of picks eliminated), we have had one of the most successful first rounds in the pool's history for player picks. Only 15.7% of picks were eliminated, the second-lowest ever - 2011's 14.7% was the lowest, the year Boston beat Vancouver in the Cam Neely Cup Final.

Only one entry was completely wiped out, with 10 people losing 6 picks being the next-biggest loss. There were 176 unscathed entries, or 50.4% of the pool. Well done everyone!

First round glory
Kerrieann Holland had an impressive 77 points to lead after round 1, but with Tampa's elimination, is left with just 6 players. Her one-point lead may not last long. Coming on strong just one point behind Kerrieann are Mike Osborn, Pierre Allard, and John Thompson, the OAT trio, who have the same nine players and will be differentiated only by which team (of Edmonton, Colorado, or Florida) might win the Cup. Where you would rank after Round 2 if everything else were the same as round one? Check out the projection below.

Oilers, Avs set to continue pacing the pool
The two top offensive teams, Edmonton and Colorado, look to continue their offensive barrage and being two of the three top-picked teams, they will maintain their hold on the upper echelons of the pool. Nearly all of the top 50 have three Oilers and three Avs, so the real difference-makers will likely be the Eastern Conference team that comes through to the finals. Florida seems most dominant for now, but the Rangers and Carolina could have their say.

Biggest Bust award
While this was not the biggest year for busts, there was still one big enough to be worthy of this award. Connor Hellebuyck, widely viewed as the best goalie in the league and the likely Vezina trophy winner, allowed at least 5 goals every game against the Avalanche, and you're not going to win many series doing that. His 1 point for 36 pickers is this year's biggest bust.
Biggest busts over the years: 2024 - Hellebuyck; 2023 - Lindholm; 2022 - Huberdeau; 2021 - Crosby; 2020 - Rask; 2019 - Vasilevskiy; 2018 - Doughty; 2017 - Kane; 2016 - Doughty; 2015 - Pietrangelo; 2014 - Krejci; 2013 - Ovechkin; 2012 - Luongo; 2011 - Backstrom; 2010 - Brodeur; 2009 - Nabokov; 2008 - Brodeur; 2007 - Kariya; 2006 - Lidstrom; 2004 - Brodeur; 2003 - Joseph; 2002 - Entire Flyers roster (ok ok: Roenick); 2001 - Yzerman; 2000 - Gonchar; 1999 - Yashin; 1998 - Holik.

Hindsight award
Congratulations are always due to the few individuals who take daring picks that pan out. Kudos to Corbin Tojeira who was the only one to pick Valeri Nichushkin of the Avalanche (7 pts thus far). The best player nobody took was Nichushkin's teammate, Artturi Lehkonen (8 pts).

On the outs
Major players on their way out: Matthews, Tor, 84 picks; Kucherov, Tam, 44; Marner, Tor, 38; Hellebuyck, Wpg, 36; Scheifele, Wpg, 33.

Team and Player Stats:

Top Players
Forwards Team Pts Picks
Connor McDavid EDM 12 257
Leon Draisaitl EDM 10 188
Carter Verhaeghe FLA 9 8
Mikko Rantanen COL 9 78
Matthew Tkachuk FLA 9 95
Nathan MacKinnon COL 9 151
Artturi Lehkonen COL 8 0
Brad Marchand BOS 8 30
Zach Hyman EDM 8 37
Defense Team Pts Picks
Evan Bouchard EDM 9 125
Cale Makar COL 9 133
Victor Hedman TAM 7 23
Goalies Team Pts Picks
Stuart Skinner EDM 9 29
Arturs Silovs VAN 7 0
Adin Hill VGK 6 0
Teams
INPicksCups
Edmonton64358
NY Rangers47164
Colorado38535
Dallas29347
Carolina28239
Florida27730
Vancouver18412
Boston1149
OUTPicksCups
Toronto18228
Winnipeg12214
Tampa Bay978
Vegas523
Nashville321
Los Angeles51
Washington20
NY Islanders00

Projected Round 2 Standings

Here are the projected scores and rankings for after round 2. The projection assumes (wrongly, of course) that the remaining players will produce in round 2 at the exact same rate as in round 1. For example, Stuart Skinner would get another four wins and a shutout.

LOST=Players Lost in Round 1
IMP=Impact (pts. by lost players)
IMP%=Impact as % of total pts.

R1 Rank
Proj. Rank
Name
R2 Projection
R1 Pts.
Lost
IMP
IMP%
Cup
21Pierre Allard15276000.0%COL
21Mike Osburn15276000.0%EDM
21John Thompson15276000.0%FLA
64Warren Duncan14874000.0%COL
64Kinsey Gill14874000.0%FLA
86Jeff Wener14472000.0%NYR
86Graham Haines14472000.0%EDM
86Ruth Beder14472000.0%NYR
86Shawn Robichaud14472000.0%NYR
86Michael McShane14472000.0%EDM
1411Aaron Allard14271000.0%COL
1411Amelia Thompson14271000.0%NYR
1411Erin Jones14271000.0%EDM
814Stacey Hartley14072145.6%DAL
1814Kerry McShane14070000.0%FLA
216Matthew Schaeffer1387621418.4%EDM
1416Tom Nicholl13871145.6%EDM
2116Colin McSweeney13869000.0%EDM
2116Mitch Wexler13869000.0%CAR
2116Tony Bruno13869000.0%NYR
2116Shain Griffin13869000.0%BOS
2116Ryan Wood13869000.0%EDM
2116Claudia Winkler13869000.0%CAR
2116Harper Christie-Allard13869000.0%COL
2116Peta Allard13869000.0%EDM
2116Avery Spedding13869000.0%CAR
2116Marc Dupuis13869000.0%CAR
2116Silvio Memme13869000.0%BOS
3529Allan Crisford13668000.0%NYR
3529Stacy Martin13668000.0%COL
131Kerrieann Helland1357731924.7%EDM
2132Sean Smith13469145.8%COL
3832Steve Vinette13467000.0%NYR
3832Ryan Dempsey13467000.0%NYR
3832Steven Hawley13467000.0%COL
3832Milton Howe13467000.0%COL
3832Cale Phibbs13467000.0%NYR
3832Mark Brewster13467000.0%FLA
3832Daniel Tojeira13467000.0%EDM
1840Manny Amaral133702710.0%EDM
3540Harris Beder13368134.4%COL
4642Andre Dube13266000.0%NYR
4642Andrew Tompkins13266000.0%EDM
4642Peter Tanner13266000.0%NYR
4642Jim Mehan13266000.0%EDM
4642Joel Greenstein13266000.0%COL
4642Dennis Clayton13266000.0%NYR
4642Scott Poitras13266000.0%NYR
4642Wayne Robbins13266000.0%NYR
4642Hanna-Marea Kennedy13266000.0%COL
4642Christopher Cito13266000.0%EDM
2152Azra Champsi131691710.1%EDM
2153Dave Bagnell130692811.6%COL
3853Sam Kozlowich13067146.0%NYR
5653Rene Comeau13065000.0%CAR
5653Al Champsi13065000.0%CAR
5653Rishi Mistry13065000.0%EDM
5653Michael Parak13065000.0%EDM
6159Darcy Lavery12864000.0%FLA
6159Daniel Levay12864000.0%CAR
1861Lucas Chua1277031318.6%TBL
6662Douglas Wilkinson12663000.0%DAL
6662Austin Neilson12663000.0%NYR
6662Josh Martin12663000.0%EDM
6662Aislyn Ash12663000.0%NYR
6662Mike Cuddemi12663000.0%NYR
6662Noah Miller12663000.0%DAL
7668Devin Hurst12462000.0%DAL
6669Kenneth Ngo12363134.8%FLA
8170Shannon Brewster12261000.0%EDM
8170Dany Boucher12261000.0%NYR
8170Russell Reed12261000.0%EDM
8170Caesar Wener12261000.0%FLA
6174Jeff Westlake120642812.5%EDM
7674Samuel Moses12062146.5%FLA
7674Sajjad Champsi12062146.5%COL
9374Doug Adlam12060000.0%FLA
9374Tyler Dominato12060000.0%DAL
9374Stefano Picone12060000.0%FLA
9374Shawn Atwell12060000.0%COL
9374Ryan Thompson12060000.0%EDM
9374Donna Thompson12060000.0%FLA
9374Joshua Workman12060000.0%CAR
9374Dustin Hall12060000.0%DAL
9374Anthony Bruno12060000.0%FLA
9374Tim Sowden12060000.0%CAR
10787Mason De Petrillo11859000.0%CAR
10787Greg Pope11859000.0%FLA
10787Stephanie Paquette11859000.0%EDM
10787Todd Beaman11859000.0%CAR
10787Mark Lenarcic11859000.0%COL
6692Tim Smith1166331015.9%COL
11492Rachelle Gaudet11658000.0%NYR
11492Estella Mae Charlotte Kennedy11658000.0%COL
11492Andrew Hurst11658000.0%CAR
11492Joanne Barrington11658000.0%DAL
11492Laura Speciale11658000.0%EDM
11492Arely Marquez11658000.0%NYR
11492Shailyn Griffin11658000.0%CAR
61100Rob Godfrey1156431320.3%TBL
76101Simon Rabinovitch1146231016.1%TOR
107101Johnny De Bartolo11459146.8%TOR
129101Laurena Clark11457000.0%NYR
129101Nick Goodchild11457000.0%NYR
129101Theresa Moncada11457000.0%DAL
129101Adam Marrus11457000.0%EDM
129101Julian Vardy11457000.0%DAL
129101Barbara Kennedy11457000.0%COL
129101Stephen Craig11457000.0%CAR
129101Brandon Thompson11457000.0%NYR
129101Ace Mandel11457000.0%EDM
61112Dryden Craig1136431523.4%EDM
93112Zayn Champsi113601711.7%NYR
66114Lino D'Agostino1126321422.2%NYR
141114Jamie Martin11256000.0%CAR
141114Mark Matheson11256000.0%DAL
141114Gwen Clark-Smith11256000.0%EDM
141114Paul Groba11256000.0%DAL
141114Bruce Bird11256000.0%CAR
141114Joy Smith11256000.0%VAN
141114Geraldine Comeau11256000.0%COL
141114Brandon Kubis11256000.0%FLA
81123Julie Dunham1116131118.0%EDM
81124Fraser Gallop1106141219.7%COL
66124Emma Loop1106331625.4%EDM
93124Jay Dart1106021016.7%EDM
153124Hugh Freedman11055000.0%NYR
153124Vince Pileggi11055000.0%CAR
153124Nolan Sarner11055000.0%COL
153124Frank Iusi11055000.0%DAL
153124Mike Griffin11055000.0%COL
153124Owen Thompson11055000.0%NYR
153124Barry Potter11055000.0%EDM
76134Micheal Nguyen1096231524.2%EDM
81134Jacqui Snow1096131321.3%TBL
114134Gareth Neilson109582712.1%COL
114137Jonas Struthers108583813.8%TOR
174137Zack O'Gorman10854000.0%BOS
174137David Hart10854000.0%DAL
174137Stacy Robichaud10854000.0%NYR
174137Todd Foster10854000.0%DAL
174137Dennis Winkler10854000.0%NYR
174137Vincent Galante10854000.0%DAL
174137Craig Endicott10854000.0%EDM
174137Tim Day10854000.0%DAL
174137Jeff Williams10854000.0%CAR
174137Aaron Beder10854000.0%FLA
174137Shawn Morrison10854000.0%EDM
174137Matthew Pledger10854000.0%CAR
81150Steve Feltz1076141524.6%TOR
81150Lori Garrah1076131524.6%CAR
107150Jeff Wood1075931118.6%WPG
114150Trevor Harding107583915.5%TOR
129150Leo Gaudet107571712.3%FLA
153150Sanjay Talwar10755135.5%CAR
174150Rob Fennimore10754111.9%NYR
93157Kara Rive1066031423.3%TOR
153157Chris McAdam10655147.3%CAR
195157Emily Sealy10653000.0%DAL
195157Christina Laronga10653000.0%DAL
195157Karen Stern10653000.0%DAL
195157Jessica Thompson10653000.0%EDM
195157Andrew Ryan10653000.0%DAL
195157Gary Smith10653000.0%EDM
195157Mike De Petrillo10653000.0%NYR
195157Shane Davey10653000.0%CAR
195157Daniel Gottfried10653000.0%COL
56168Eric Alexander1056542538.5%COL
141168Dave Musgrave105562712.5%COL
129170Erin Ash1045731017.5%CAR
153170Richard Gretzinger104552610.9%COL
153170Adam Jamieson104552610.9%COL
210170Steven Mlotek10452000.0%CAR
81174Eddie J W Kennedy1036131931.1%EDM
114174Jodie Selinger1035831322.4%VAN
153174Tom Pernar103551712.7%FLA
221177Francesco Varriano10251000.0%DAL
221177Eli Day10251000.0%NYR
221177Braden Cheng10251000.0%DAL
221177Ryan Chirnomas10251000.0%FLA
221177Corbin Tojeira10251000.0%COL
221177Travis MacDonald10251000.0%NYR
93183Lauda Robbins1016031931.7%NYR
114183Tyler Beaman1015831525.9%TBL
174183Jourdan Freed101543713.0%COL
141183Matt Hartley1015621119.6%NYR
174183Allan Fabrykant101542713.0%TOR
153188Camden West1005531018.2%TOR
153188Wesley Frew1005531018.2%TOR
153188Sean Sargent1005531018.2%EDM
210188Alistair Viegas10052247.7%CAR
234188Will McGee10050000.0%BOS
234188Jonah Rabinovitch10050000.0%BOS
234188Jerry Gluss10050000.0%DAL
234188Elaine Weidner10050000.0%FLA
234188Brenden Kennedy10050000.0%DAL
234188Brett Bowman10050000.0%NYR
234188Danny Thompson10050000.0%FLA
129199Marie Loop995731526.3%EDM
153199Jeffrey Burke995531120.0%VAN
153201Hugh McShane985541221.8%EDM
114201Brent Robbins985831831.0%NYR
114201James Burnand985831831.0%NYR
153201Ava McAdam-Beder985531221.8%EDM
153201Mark Gottfried985531221.8%NYR
174201Cepta Richardson985431018.5%TOR
195201Dindo Dacanay98533815.1%TOR
153201Ray Bennett985521221.8%CAR
174201Simon Bauer985421018.5%BOS
174201Nathaniel Galante985421018.5%NYR
244201Phil Wiper9849000.0%NYR
244201Eli Hammerman9849000.0%CAR
244201Eric Marquez9849000.0%VAN
174214Giancarlo Da-Re975421120.4%EDM
210214Paul Martin97522713.5%NYR
210214Sean Desjardins97522713.5%EDM
221214Pamela Santos9751259.8%TOR
81218Ted Kennedy966152642.6%EDM
174218Samara McAdam965421222.2%DAL
195218Blake Enzel965321018.9%DAL
234218Patrick Smith9650148.0%DAL
251218Dave Spedding9648000.0%FLA
251218Sandra Hennigar9648000.0%NYR
251218Phil Crawford9648000.0%COL
251218Jonathan Berges9648000.0%VAN
195226Andrea De Petrillo955331120.8%COL
244226Ingrid Randoja9549136.1%COL
141228Manuela Marinello945641832.1%EDM
153228Alex Kurgatnikov945531629.1%EDM
195228Gary Brewster945331222.6%NYR
210228Joe Laronga945231019.2%EDM
259228Levi Berges9447000.0%COL
259228Colby Foster9447000.0%FLA
259228Mark Norman9447000.0%VAN
210235Michael Varriano935231121.2%WPG
210235Robert Herzig935231121.2%CAR
210235Jack Budd935221121.2%EDM
195238Jeffrey McFarland925331426.4%BOS
221238Matt Steeves925131019.6%CAR
221238John McGarry925131019.6%COL
221238Steven Graham925131019.6%TOR
221238Domenic DeMarco925131019.6%DAL
251238Rebecca Gaudreau9248148.3%FLA
266238Blair Miller9246000.0%NYR
266238Lizzy Freed9246000.0%DAL
81246Adam Pileggi916163150.8%WPG
141246Scott Lee915642137.5%EDM
174246Thomas Smith915441731.5%EDM
244246Duncan Campbell91492714.3%TOR
221250Dave Michael905141223.5%TOR
234250George Smith905031020.0%NYR
276250Rob Phillips9045000.0%EDM
276250Erica Jeffery9045000.0%DAL
276250Dave Poitras9045000.0%DAL
276250Peter Jay9045000.0%DAL
276250Jim Craven9045000.0%DAL
114257Phil Victor895862746.6%TBL
210257Norrin Ripsman895231528.8%EDM
244259Corby Fine884931020.4%EDM
266259Sidney Gluss8846148.7%NYR
266259James Smith8846148.7%VAN
285259Riley Babkirk8844000.0%NYR
259263Andrew Ross87472714.9%WPG
259263Neil Poitras87471714.9%FLA
234265Jeff West865041428.0%WPG
210265Mike van Steendelaar865231834.6%TBL
251265KC Swink864831020.8%CAR
251265David Lester864831020.8%DAL
244265Joel Kronis864921224.5%NYR
293265Aron Slipacoff8643000.0%DAL
251271Shane Kozlowich854831122.9%WPG
266271Richard Crowe85462715.2%DAL
195273Thomas Jarman845362241.5%EDM
285273Frank Peragine8444149.1%DAL
285273Adam Bloedow8444149.1%BOS
210276Ryan Slack835262140.4%TOR
259276Hank Shannon834741123.4%EDM
276276Jack Walker83451715.6%CAR
266279Fraser Macdonald824631021.7%TOR
266279Dan Meister824631021.7%NYR
293279Mohan Krishnamoorthy8243149.3%DAL
301279Marc Ennis8241000.0%NYR
301279Sean Bones8241000.0%CAR
301279Kevin Pinto8241000.0%FLA
266285Trish Robichaud814631123.9%NSH
266285Matthew Cooke814631123.9%WPG
221287Lindsey Baldwin805152243.1%EDM
276287Corey Messer804541022.2%CAR
276287Martin Lefebvre804531022.2%CAR
309287Fred Slade8040000.0%VAN
309287Siyeon Lee8040000.0%NYR
309287Nadine Godin8040000.0%DAL
301293Amina Champsi7941137.3%DAL
266294Noah Bloedow784641430.4%TOR
285294Philip Zator784431022.7%TOR
293296Claudine Lukawesky77433920.9%TOR
301297Paula Kozlowich76411614.6%WPG
319297Dan McGee7638000.0%NYR
319297Eltio Deldot7638000.0%DAL
319297Patrick Gill7638000.0%FLA
314301Andrew Mckenzie7539237.7%FLA
293302Tully Morris744331227.9%WPG
293302Anna Kwan744331227.9%WPG
298302Diego DeMarco744231023.8%TOR
325302Ron Weidner7437000.0%FLA
298306Lindsay Reid734231126.2%NYR
298306Jo-Anne Enzel734221126.2%NYR
276308Tracy Smith724541840.0%LAK
314308Robert Struthers72391615.4%DAL
328308David Loop7236000.0%DAL
301311Andrew Robichaud714131126.8%BOS
285312Colin Kennedy704451840.9%TOR
334312Ethan Craig7035000.0%FLA
334312Jamie Sarner7035000.0%CAR
309315Lori Winkler694031127.5%VAN
319315Cyril Beaman69382718.4%DAL
328317Stephanie Robichaud68361411.1%DAL
314318Carl Pledger673931128.2%CAR
285319Mark MacDonald664442250.0%VGK
301320Ron Lawrence654151741.5%TOR
314320Thomas Cheyne Matheson653931333.3%FLA
319320Daisy Marquez653831128.9%NYR
325323Ajumi Marquez643731027.0%NYR
314324Amy van Steendelaar633951538.5%WPG
325324Judah Gould633731129.7%WPG
328326Brett Kirkpatrick623631027.8%CAR
328326Jen Chua623631027.8%NYR
341326Lauren Messer6231000.0%DAL
259329Desmond Desrosier614763370.2%VGK
309329Hugh MacPhie614031947.5%VAN
301331Connor Brewster594152356.1%NYR
338331Campbell Clark-Smith59332721.2%VAN
338333David Schamma58333824.2%TOR
346333Zackary Winkler5829000.0%NYR
328335Aaron Pretto563651644.4%TOR
285336Shawn Glassford554463375.0%TBL
337336Daryl McGee553431338.2%VAN
341338Alan Eng523131032.3%DAL
344338Chris Smith52303826.7%TOR
340340Brandon Poitras513231340.6%NYR
341340Eddie Chua513131135.5%TOR
344342Nathan Slack503031033.3%TOR
334343Mike Siegler493562160.0%WPG
328344Gavin Pledger483662466.7%WPG
319345Tina Speciale473862976.3%TBL
285346Jonah Wood4444944100.0%VGK
348347Jean Glassford43263934.6%NYR
349348Paul Smits402531040.0%CAR
346349Frank Pileggi382962069.0%NYR







Comments, questions, suggestions? E-mail Mitch.