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Opening Analysis / Round 1 / Round 2 / Round 3 / Final

Round 1 Analysis
A relatively tame first round has passed without major upsets or high scoring. Anaheim (150 picks) was the only favourite to be knocked out, while teams like Washington have not turned on the offensive jets. The pool therefore remains extremely close and is open to a lot of possibilities. So even if you're trailing the pack, you still have a chance.

Ryan Miller
Ryan Miller led the pool after posting two shutouts, but was then knocked out.
Enjoy it while it lasts
Congratulations to Laurena Clark on climbing to the top spot for the final day of round one, and the permanent "1" in her first round record. Unfortunately she and some of her fellow leaderboarders got there on the strength of Anaheim's offensive outburst and will suffer from their elimination. Laurena lost three players and the others in the top four lost more.

Looking good are Sanjay Talwar, Ruth Beder, and Trevor Stiles, the top poolies without any losses and within striking distance of the leaders in a few games' time.

See whether you are projected to rise or fall, and where you would rank after round 2 if everything else were the same, in our projections below.

Better to burn out than to fade away
The most notable trend in the first round stats is the unusual circumstance where the top players in the first round at every position were knocked out - and this in a year with so few first round upsets. Both of the top two goalies, all of the top three defensemen, and the top forward were eliminated. Ryan Miller of Buffalo had 14 points (including two shutouts) and led all players; Chris Crawford had ten points in net for Chicago. Buffalo and Chicago also provided the top defensemen in Marc-Andre Gragnani, Tyler Myers, and Duncan Keith. Meanwhile Mike Cammalleri, who led all skaters with 10 points, is out as well.

Look for key players to step it up in the next round.

Shutouts all around
The offence wasn't a highlight in the first round, other than Anaheim and Tampa Bay, but shutouts were back in vogue in round one. With three on the first night and two more the next, temporary five-point advantages for some goaltenders ended up being cancelled out as the round wore on. In the end only Ryan Miller had more than one shutout and he's toast despite that.

Biggest bust award still unclaimed - two main contenders
The biggest bust is usually determined in the first round because when major players fail to show up in the playoffs, their team usually loses. This year our two contenders for the award are still alive into round two. Expect either Nicklas Backstrom (77 picks, 1 point) or Zdeno Chara (55 picks, 1 point) to claim the award as soon as next round, should their team lose. Unless they turn it around in a hurry.

Biggest busts over the years: 2010 - Brodeur; 2009 - Nabokov; 2008 - Brodeur; 2007 - Kariya; 2006 - Lidstrom; 2004 - Brodeur; 2003 - Joseph; 2002 - Entire Flyers roster; 2001 - Yzerman; 2000 - Gonchar; 1999 - Yashin; 1998 - Holik.

There's always Hindsight
Congratulations are always due to individuals who take daring picks that pan out. The Hindsight Award this year - at least after round one - goes to Bo Chen for being the only one to pick Chris Crawford, who collected 10 points. Unfortunately Crawford, along with defenseman Tyler Myers (six points, picked by Brad Hotson), were both eliminated leaving no true darkhorse picks at this stage. Stay tuned in round two for new heroes to emerge.

Round 2 predictions
In round one I had the right idea not picking many upsets, and got 4/4 in the East, but in the west I got the wrong upset for 6/8 overall. For round two, I'm taking Vancouver, Detroit in the "upset" over San Jose, Boston, and Tampa Bay over perennial second round losers Washington..

On the outs
Major players on their way out: Perry, ANA, 63 picks; Visnovsky, ANA, 38; Getzlaf, ANA, 27; Selanne, ANA, 14; Letang, Pit, 13; Vanek, Buf, 10.

Team and Player Stats:
Top Players
Forwards Team Pts Picks
Michael Cammalleri MON 10 8
Claude Giroux PHI 9 37
Martin St.Louis TAM 8 42
Corey Perry ANA 8 63
Patrice Bergeron BOS 7 10
Ryane Clowe SAN 7 3
Daniel Briere PHI 7 31
Saku Koivu ANA 7 0
Teemu Selanne ANA 7 14
Simon Gagne TAM 7 0
Daniel Sedin VAN 7 151
Steve Downie TAM 7 2
Defense Team Pts Picks
Marc-Andre Gragnani BUF 7 0
Tyler Myers BUF 6 1
Duncan Keith CHI 6 3
       
Goalies Team Pts Picks
Ryan Miller BUF 14 6
Corey Crawford CHI 10 1
Dwayne Roloson TAM 9 6
Roberto Luongo VAN 9 85
Michal Neuvirth WAS 9 4
Teams
IN  Picks  Cups 
Vancouver 452 102
Washington 274 16
San Jose 258 35
Boston 203 23
Detroit 159 7
Philadelphia 115 5
Tampa Bay 103 4
Nashville 10 0
OUT Picks Cups
Anaheim 150 6
Pittsburgh 28 2
Buffalo 24 4
Montreal 24 1
Chicago 18 0
Phoenix 12 0
NY Rangers 9 0
Los Angeles 6 0

Projected Round 2 Standings

Here are the projected scores and rankings for after round 2. The projection assumes (wrongly, of course) that the remaining players will produce in round 2 at the exact same rate as in round 1. For example, so Nicklas Backstrom and Zdeno Chara would continue to suck, while Roberto Luongo would get another 9 points.

LOST=Players Lost in Round 1
IMP=Impact (pts. by lost players)
IMP%=Impact as % of total pts.

R1 Rank
Proj. Rank
Name
R2 Projection
R1 Pts.
Lost
IMP
IMP%
Cup
51Sanjay Talwar11055000.0%VAN
72Ruth Beder10854000.0%VAN
113Trevor Stiles10653000.0%VAN
114Michael Patton10453123.8%VAN
154Harris Beder10452000.0%SJS
154Pette Chappell10452000.0%VAN
237Ashleigh Harrington10251000.0%VAN
237Max-Zeb Jackaman-Slipacoff10251000.0%WSH
237Ted Kennedy10251000.0%TBL
237Jay Dart10251000.0%DET
237Jordana Wexler10251000.0%DET
212Alvin Gainforth1015831525.9%ANA
3213Hanna-Marea Kennedy10050000.0%PHI
3213Peter Kazan10050000.0%VAN
715Duncan Campbell985411018.5%VAN
3615Peter Hogg9849000.0%VAN
3615Darcy Lavery9849000.0%VAN
3615David Lester9849000.0%SJS
3615Desmond Desrosier9849000.0%VAN
2320Andrea De Petrillo9751159.8%VAN
521Hank Shannon965521425.5%VAN
4421Sam Fielding9648000.0%VAN
4421Rachelle Gaudet9648000.0%VAN
4421Sean Hammond9648000.0%VAN
4421Saeho Son9648000.0%VAN
1126Kristie Baran955321120.8%VAN
3226Deric Chow95502510.0%VAN
3628Mark Coatsworth9449148.2%VAN
5028Ryan Chirnomas9447000.0%VAN
730Mike Newbauer935431527.8%VAN
1530John White935221121.2%VAN
1530Brendan Hoey935221121.2%VAN
1530Brandon Kubis935221121.2%VAN
3234Jason Feltz92501816.0%VAN
5834Keith Chappell9246000.0%VAN
5834Shannon Brewster9246000.0%VAN
5834Lindsay Adams9246000.0%SJS
5834Ray Amarsi9246000.0%VAN
5834Mike van Steendelaar9246000.0%VAN
5834Gabriel Strachan9246000.0%VAN
5834Blair Miller9246000.0%PHI
5834Brad Moulton9246000.0%VAN
5834Aaron Pretto9246000.0%VAN
5834Ryan Courville9246000.0%BOS
5834Allan Crisford9246000.0%VAN
5834Shadd Dales9246000.0%VAN
5834Martha Gill9246000.0%VAN
7648David Minuk9045000.0%VAN
7648Mike Osburn9045000.0%VAN
7648Stuart Klein9045000.0%SJS
7648Graham Haines9045000.0%VAN
7648Glenn Zyzanski9045000.0%WSH
4453Juan Arango88481816.7%WSH
8853Jim Durley8844000.0%VAN
8853Ronny Sirizzotti8844000.0%VAN
8853Ryan Slack8844000.0%VAN
8853Fraser Macdonald8844000.0%VAN
8853John McClelland8844000.0%VAN
8853Dan Leggieri8844000.0%VAN
160Laurena Clark875943152.5%ANA
761Samuel Wexler865432240.7%VAN
3661Denis Melanson864921224.5%VAN
5061Maurice Levesque86471817.0%VAN
10261Pierre Gainforth-Beech8643000.0%BOS
1565Andrew Hamilton855231936.5%VAN
2365Brian Upper855131733.3%VAN
2365Kara Spedding855131733.3%VAN
7668Bill Bettridge84451613.3%VAN
10668George Smith8442000.0%VAN
10668Nina Lozano8442000.0%VAN
10668Ryan Ferguson8442000.0%VAN
10668Mike De Petrillo8442000.0%SJS
10668Aaron Allard8442000.0%SJS
1174Shaun Dolter835332343.4%VAN
375David Valenti825643053.6%MTL
5075Max Porebski824731225.5%VAN
5075Janine Pileggi824721225.5%WSH
5075Alexander Bondarenko824721225.5%WSH
7675Kristoff Porebski82452817.8%VAN
11875Hoover Jong8241000.0%VAN
11875Stan Jong8241000.0%TBL
11875Randy Stewart8241000.0%VAN
11875Karen Savoie8241000.0%VAN
11875Luke McEachnie8241000.0%VAN
11875Jerry Daleez8241000.0%SJS
11875Dennis Clayton8241000.0%BOS
11875Becke Gainforth8241000.0%VAN
11875Todd Beaman8241000.0%SJS
8889Eli Hammerman81443715.9%PHI
5889Terry Hoey814621123.9%PHI
3691John Upper804931836.7%ANA
8891Dryden Craig80443818.2%VAN
13391Mitch Wexler8040000.0%VAN
13391Shawn Robichaud8040000.0%VAN
13391Ryan Thompson8040000.0%VAN
13391Peter Holland8040000.0%SJS
13391Jeff Hammond8040000.0%VAN
13391Mohan Krishnamoorthy8040000.0%SJS
13391Ryan McLennan8040000.0%SJS
13391Samara McAdam8040000.0%VAN
76101Oliver Porebski794531124.4%VAN
76101Marko Groesch794521124.4%VAN
15103Marilyn Beaulieu785242650.0%TBL
58103Brenden Kennedy784621430.4%VAN
141103Frank Pileggi7839000.0%VAN
141103Campbell Clark-Smith7839000.0%VAN
141103Joy Smith7839000.0%SJS
141103Avery Spedding7839000.0%BOS
141103Andrew Ryan7839000.0%VAN
141103Sean Sargent7839000.0%BOS
141103Steven Hawley7839000.0%VAN
36112Mark Brewster774932142.9%WSH
50112Shane Davey774731736.2%WSH
50112Kevin Hinch774731736.2%ANA
88112Adam Bloedow774421125.0%VAN
118116Bill Hammond76413614.6%VAN
106116Mike Melanson76421819.0%SJS
151116Steve Gill7638000.0%VAN
151116Dwight Butler7638000.0%VAN
151116Gabe Pretto7638000.0%BOS
58121Jeff Drisdelle754631737.0%VAN
58121Della Santin754631737.0%SJS
141121Matt Seiler7539137.7%DET
102124Ava McAdam-Beder744321227.9%SJS
118124Kyle Seeback74411819.5%VAN
157124Aron Slipacoff7437000.0%VAN
157124Douglas Wilkinson7437000.0%WSH
157124David Van Kula7437000.0%DET
157124Russell Bobbie7437000.0%BOS
157124David Loop7437000.0%VAN
76131Al Champsi734531737.8%DET
76131Jordan Groesch734531737.8%BOS
76131Kristen Walsh734531737.8%BOS
106131Ian Winsor734221126.2%VAN
151131Mouli Ramani7338137.9%SJS
151136Ron Wener72381410.5%VAN
166136Judah Gould7236000.0%WSH
166136David Burke7236000.0%VAN
166136Roger Brouard7236000.0%BOS
166136Siyeon Lee7236000.0%BOS
166136Norrin Ripsman7236000.0%SJS
44142Kevin Boomer714842552.1%PIT
58142Mel McNulty714632145.7%SJS
102142Marco Pazzano714321534.9%SJS
3145Brad Hotson705664275.0%BUF
106145Sascha Bloedow704221433.3%BOS
174145George Crothers7035000.0%SJS
174145Blair Phillips7035000.0%VAN
174145Patrick Mitchell7035000.0%SJS
174145Russell Reed7035000.0%VAN
174145Dave Spedding7035000.0%WSH
88152Sophie Wexler694431943.2%TBL
183153Dan Sullivan6834000.0%DET
183153Karla Webster Gill6834000.0%VAN
183153Sean Smith6834000.0%VAN
183153Scott Strachan6834000.0%BOS
183153Chris Smith6834000.0%VAN
183153Brett Kirkpatrick6834000.0%SJS
183153Peter Pappas6834000.0%BOS
183153Stephen Craig6834000.0%SJS
183153Barrett Boitson6834000.0%VAN
183153Jaime Caeiro6834000.0%SJS
88163Jeff Wener674432147.7%VAN
88163Patrick Provost674432147.7%ANA
106163Martin Lefebvre674231740.5%SJS
106163Patrick Gill674231740.5%SJS
141163George Roman673921128.2%SJS
141163Azra Champsi673921128.2%SJS
106169Lee Beech664231842.9%BOS
157169Paul Baran66373821.6%VAN
157169Jerry Rynda66371821.6%BOS
195169Shane Kozlowich6633000.0%SJS
195169Richard Gretzinger6633000.0%VAN
118174Steve Sealy654141741.5%VAN
118174Andy Hotson654131741.5%SJS
15176Brendan Browne645264076.9%WSH
88176Jason Roy644442454.5%VAN
102176Ethan Craig644332251.2%BUF
23179David Schamma635163976.5%BUF
183179Whitney Johnson63343514.7%VAN
166181Dan Salerno623631027.8%SJS
195181Kevin Hoey62333412.1%VAN
195181Noah Bloedow62332412.1%VAN
201181Jonas Struthers6231000.0%VAN
201181Colin Kennedy6231000.0%BOS
201181Abraham McAllister6231000.0%WSH
106187Vincent Galante614242354.8%SJS
118188Steve Feltz604152253.7%BOS
199188Shane Firth60322412.5%DET
50190Einar Gainforth-Beech594763574.5%BUF
157190Jeff Jacobs593741540.5%WSH
151190Kyle Hogg593831744.7%SJS
118193Sohee Kim574162561.0%WSH
88193Bo Chen574453170.5%WSH
166193Rob Phillips573631541.7%BOS
174196Claudio Colavecchia553531542.9%SJS
174197Steve Vinette543531645.7%PHI
174198Tim Smith533531748.6%BOS
174198Stefano Pileggi533531748.6%WSH
204200Evan Hoey52301826.7%BOS
166201Sharon Boitson513632158.3%ANA
183202Jim Dart493431955.9%SJS
157203Alicia Kay483762670.3%PIT
199204Tracy Smith463231856.3%BOS
205205Jim Boudrot362351043.5%BOS







Comments, questions, suggestions? E-mail Mitch.