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Opening Analysis / Round 1 / Round 2 / Round 3 / Final

Roope Hintz
Roope Hintz quietly put up huge numbers, with 12 points in 6 games.

Round 1 Analysis
A quiet first round turned on its head when two of the three giants were slayed in game 7. Boston (645 picks) and Colorado (581)'s exits knocked out 40% of the pool's picks in one night, leaving just Edmonton (748) among top teams. The Rangers' exit (264 picks) leaves Toronto (286) the top difference-maker, followed by Dallas (173).

The Oilers' saturation via McDavid and Draisaitl leave them essentially moot, but their Round 2 series against Vegas (67 picks) has the most picks at stake. Meanwhile the leaders of the "Didn't Pick McDavid" division are ranked 77th, and 31 of the 37 no-Connor entries are in the bottom half of the pool.

First round leader set up well for success
Marie Loop is only the second contestant to reach 80 points in round one (record 85 set last year) and established a cushion that has held through round one. With a full squad of nine (Tor/Edm/Dal) remaining, Marie stands to increase the lead. While Jeff Wener, last year's champ, and Tony Bruno currently hold second and third, it is Anthony Bruno who looks to keep pace while Angela West hopes to make noise (until her loss of three from either Florida or Toronto). Coming up the ranks we may see Stacy Martin and Ronald Fawnstein if Carolina turns on their offence. Where you would rank after Round 2 if everything else were the same as round one? Check out the projection below.

Not the worst first round elimination
Boston and Colorado's double whammy was a big hit to the pool, but nowhere near the devastation of 2019. That year, all of the top six teams were eliminated - 81% of the pool - and Tampa Bay, the heaviest favourite in pool history, was swept. Revisit the historic devastation here!

This year's 51.5% of players eliminated ranks fourth all-time.

R1 Picks Lost, PoolR1 Picks Lost, Team
YearEntriesPicks LostPercCup Picks LostPerc
2019349255081.230487.1
20122097135264.516169.1
200360335358.54871.6
2023341158251.519958.4
..................
202233259219.830487.1
2001406417.816169.1
201835054417.34871.6
201120527114.719958.4
YearEntriesTeamPlayers LostPercentageCups LostPercentage
2019349Tampa Bay81926.120458.5
2010197Washington44425.06131.0
2017273Chicago57823.57226.4
2012233Pittsburgh49123.410143.3
200367Detroit13322.11725.4
200367Colorado13121.71623.9
2023341Boston64521.014743.1
2006104Detroit19420.72726.0
2023341Colorado58118.9236.7
2009185San Jose30218.15518.1
Performance by year (top 4; bottom 4); Worst first-round upsets in pool history (top 10)

Biggest Bust award
Hampus Lindholm is the clear-cut biggest bust for 2023, with no points for his 49 owners. After a 53-point regular season, Lindholm was expected to do something in the playoffs this year.
Biggest busts over the years: 2023 - Lindholm; 2022 - Huberdeau; 2021 - Crosby; 2020 - Rask; 2019 - Vasilevskiy; 2018 - Doughty; 2017 - Kane; 2016 - Doughty; 2015 - Pietrangelo; 2014 - Krejci; 2013 - Ovechkin; 2012 - Luongo; 2011 - Backstrom; 2010 - Brodeur; 2009 - Nabokov; 2008 - Brodeur; 2007 - Kariya; 2006 - Lidstrom; 2004 - Brodeur; 2003 - Joseph; 2002 - Entire Flyers roster (ok ok: Roenick); 2001 - Yzerman; 2000 - Gonchar; 1999 - Yashin; 1998 - Holik.

On the outs
Major players on their way out: Pastrnak, Bos, 229 picks; MacKinnon, Col, 207; Rantanen, Col, 128; Marchand, Bos, 112; Makar, Col, 195; Ullmark, Bos, 147; Fox, NYR, 90; McAvoy, Bos, 58; Zibanejad, NYR, 58; Panarin, NYR, 58; Shesterkin, NYR, 46; Georgiev, Col, 32.

Kronis' Corner - notes from the pool's stats co-pilot Joel Kronis
With upsets galore in round 1, Round 2 shows the brutal nature of the divisional playoff picture. I did not see round 1 coming including the big one FINALLY the leafs slaying their demons and getting over their fear of the second round. On top of that the best NHL regular season point getters of all time Boston Bruins going out blowing a massive 3-1 series lead. The Reigning Stanley Cup Champions Colorado Avalanche also going in seven and the New York Rangers waiting a massive trade deadline essentially throwing away many future pieces. The unsung hero in The Rangers series essentially bailed out a slow start from the Devils: Akira Schmid leading 14 Pool points and 2 shutouts including a massive 4-0 blanking in Game 7. I would look for more upsets to come continuing to ride the Devils over the Hurricanes, and Edmonton over Vegas, On top of seeing favourites Toronto and Dallas moving on. Despite getting eliminated I believe Mathew Tkachuk will continue to play a massive role in a series that goes deep against Toronto. As well I don’t believe Connor Mcdavid has hit his playoff stride, I would expect both of them to come up big in their series. Only 25 people have 9 players left including Pool Leader Marie Loop, The dominance that she has shown will likely continue riding a hot Dallas team and Roope Hintz who was the first round leading forward scorer.

Team and Player Stats:

Top Players
Forwards Team Pts Picks
Roope Hintz DAL 12 6
Matthew Tkachuk FLA 11 8
Mitchell Marner TOR 11 100
Leon Draisaitl EDM 11 264
Tyler Bertuzzi BOS 10 3
Brad Marchand BOS 10 112
Mikko Rantanen COL 10 128
Connor McDavid EDM 10 304
Chris Kreider NYR 9 5
Auston Matthews TOR 9 91
Defense Team Pts Picks
Evan Bouchard EDM 10 26
Devon Toews COL 9 10
Brandon Montour FLA 8 6
Dmitry Orlov BOS 8 6
Goalies Team Pts Picks
Akira Schmid NJD 14 0
Jake Oettinger DAL 9 23
Teams
INPicksCups
Edmonton74863
Toronto28653
Dallas17311
New Jersey973
Carolina929
Vegas642
Florida211
Seattle60
OUTPicksCups
Boston645147
Colorado58123
NY Rangers26423
Tampa Bay563
Los Angeles121
Winnipeg112
Minnesota80
NY Islanders50

Projected Round 2 Standings

Here are the projected scores and rankings for after round 2. The projection assumes (wrongly, of course) that the remaining players will produce in round 2 at the exact same rate as in round 1. For example, Roope Hintz would get another 12 points, while Jake Oettinger would again get four wins and a shutout.

LOST=Players Lost in Round 1
IMP=Impact (pts. by lost players)
IMP%=Impact as % of total pts.

R1 Rank
Proj. Rank
Name
R2 Projection
R1 Pts.
Lost
IMP
IMP%
Cup
11Marie Loop16080000.0%TOR
42Anthony Bruno15075000.0%TOR
43Angela West14575156.7%TOR
664Stacy Martin13467000.0%EDM
664Ronald Fawnstein13467000.0%TOR
26Tony Bruno1327732228.6%TOR
26Jeff Wener1327732228.6%TOR
776Vincent Galante13266000.0%TOR
149Harris Beder1317331520.5%COL
519Simon Rabinovitch13168157.4%TOR
4411Shannon Brewster1286921014.5%TOR
10611Judah Gould12864000.0%CAR
713Zackary Winkler1267432229.7%EDM
713Alan Eng1267432229.7%TOR
713Frank Pileggi1267432229.7%TOR
713Martin Lefebvre1267432229.7%COL
7713Nolan Sarner12666269.1%DAL
12613Fraser Macdonald12663000.0%TOR
2619Geraldine Comeau1257131723.9%DAL
3319Matt Steeves1257031521.4%EDM
4421Ryan Dempsey1246931420.3%EDM
6621Allan Fabrykant1246721014.9%TOR
2623Steve Feltz1237131926.8%TOR
1624Paul Martin1227232230.6%EDM
3324Peter Tanner1227031825.7%EDM
6624Jenji C1226721217.9%TOR
727Dustin Hall1217442736.5%TOR
5127Sean Sargent1216831522.1%EDM
5127Dave Michael1216831522.1%TOR
10627Sanjay Talwar121641710.9%TOR
1631Trish Robichaud1207242433.3%TOR
2631Ryan Slack1207132231.0%TOR
6631Sean Smith1206731420.9%TOR
9131George Smith1206521015.4%TOR
18231Joel Borgida12060000.0%TOR
2636Austin Coppola1197142332.4%TOR
2636Stacey Hartley1197142332.4%TOR
2636Tim Smith1197142332.4%COL
3336Julian Vardy1197032130.0%TOR
5136Michael McShane1196831725.0%TOR
2641Rachelle Gaudet1187132433.8%TOR
3341David Lester1187032231.4%TOR
4441Colby Foster1186932029.0%BOS
7741Rob Phillips1186631421.2%EDM
5145Laura Speciale1176831927.9%BOS
5145Duncan Campbell1176831927.9%TOR
15445Erin McShane11761158.2%CAR
15445Chiara DeMarco11761158.2%TOR
5149Adam Pileggi1166842029.4%EDM
6649Evan Brooker1166731826.9%TOR
751Cale Phibbs1157453344.6%COL
1451Andrew Ford1157353142.5%EDM
3351Pasqi Porco1157042535.7%EDM
9151Daryl McGee1156531523.1%NYR
4455Thomas Jarman1146942434.8%TOR
5155Ava McAdam-Beder1146832232.4%EDM
6655Jeff Wood1146732029.9%BOS
6655Jamie Martin1146732029.9%BOS
6655Jack Budd1146732029.9%TOR
10655Emma Loop1146431421.9%BOS
10655Brenden Kennedy1146431421.9%DAL
10662Brett Bowman1136431523.4%BOS
12662Dylan Montague1136331320.6%EDM
14364Nolan Ash1126221219.4%EDM
23564David Schamma11256000.0%CAR
23564Eric Marquez11256000.0%TOR
12667Hank Shannon1116331523.8%BOS
21467Azra Champsi11158158.6%EDM
7769Shawn Glassford1106642233.3%FLA
9169Fred Slade1106532030.8%EDM
15469Rob Godfrey1106121219.7%DAL
10672Mike De Petrillo1096441929.7%TOR
10672Dan Meister1096441929.7%NYR
12672Chris Bulpit1096331727.0%TOR
14372Amelia Thompson1096231524.2%DAL
5176Mike Cuddemi1086852841.2%BOS
7776Dindo Dacanay1086642436.4%BOS
12676Thomas Smith1086341828.6%NYR
10676Colin Kennedy1086432031.3%TOR
15476Avery Spedding1086131423.0%DAL
15476Mike Siegler1086131423.0%DAL
4482Alistair Viegas1076953144.9%BOS
4482Douglas Wilkinson1076953144.9%BOS
7782James Smith1076652537.9%NYR
7782Jordan Ungerman1076652537.9%NYR
486Lino D'Agostino1067564458.7%BOS
786Scott Sellers1067464256.8%BOS
9186Zack O'Gorman1066552436.9%NYR
10686Ryan Wood1066432234.4%TOR
18286Ace Mandel1066031423.3%BOS
18286Nathan Slack1066031423.3%TOR
9192Nolan Coole1056542538.5%EDM
18292Francesco Varriano1056031525.0%TOR
28194Jean Glassford10452000.0%DAL
1695Graham Haines1037264156.9%EDM
1695Gavin Pledger1037264156.9%BOS
1695Charlie Beder1037264156.9%EDM
1695Tim Day1037264156.9%BOS
1695Ray Amarsi1037264156.9%BOS
1695Samara McAdam1037264156.9%BOS
1695Christina Laronga1037264156.9%BOS
1695Caesar Wener1037264156.9%BOS
15495Bruce Bird1036131931.1%BOS
20395Ajumi Marquez1035931525.4%TOR
26095Karen Savoie10354359.3%TOR
33106Diego DeMarco1027063854.3%BOS
33106Beau Berges1027063854.3%EDM
51106Jonah Wood1026853450.0%TOR
91106Sandra Hennigar1026542843.1%TOR
143106Blair Miller1026232235.5%CAR
126111Erin Wall1016352539.7%BOS
126111Philip Power1016352539.7%NYR
182111Dryden Craig1016031931.7%EDM
182111Chris Smith1016031931.7%TOR
51115Joshua Workman1006863652.9%BOS
154115Matthew Pledger1006132236.1%EDM
182115Katarina Ornstein1006032033.3%BOS
44118Sam Kozlowich996963956.5%EDM
91118Matthew Cooke996553147.7%BOS
143118Adam Kazmi996252540.3%DAL
260118Jay Dart99543916.7%NYR
51122Matt Hartley986863855.9%BOS
66122Ian George986763653.7%BOS
106122Sean Desjardins986453046.9%BOS
154122Dave Musgrave986152439.3%BOS
182122Alex Kurgatnikov986042236.7%EDM
203122Marc Dupuis985932033.9%COL
303122Phil Victor9849000.0%TOR
77129Todd Beaman976663553.0%NYR
126129Anna Kwan976352946.0%BOS
126129Rishi Mistry976352946.0%EDM
154129Pete Cibula976152541.0%NYR
33133Andrew Rudy967064462.9%BOS
91133Tina Speciale966563452.3%COL
126133Bryce Jarman966353047.6%COL
214133Sajjad Champsi965842034.5%TOR
235133Brock Whalley965641628.6%BOS
235133M Ripsman965631628.6%CAR
51139Jerry Gluss956864160.3%BOS
91139Lori Garrah956563553.8%BOS
106139Joe Laronga956463351.6%BOS
126139Domenic DeMarco956363149.2%BOS
126139Ray Bennett956353149.2%BOS
220139Travis MacDonald955741933.3%NYR
220139Shawn Morrison955731933.3%EDM
33146Frank Iusi947064665.7%BOS
126146Roman Tatarsky946363250.8%BOS
126146Danny Thompson946353250.8%BOS
154146Jeff Bangs946142845.9%BOS
281146Ron Wener945231019.2%BOS
51151Leo Gaudet936864363.2%BOS
66151Al Champsi936764161.2%BOS
126151Manny Amaral936363352.4%BOS
143151Silvio Memme936263150.0%BOS
143151Aaron Beder936263150.0%EDM
154151Lizzy Freed936152947.5%BOS
220151Larry Coole935742136.8%CAR
235151Siyeon Lee935631933.9%BOS
106159Dave Poitras926463656.3%BOS
106159Matthew Warner926463656.3%BOS
203159Chris Daszczynski925952644.1%EDM
214159Vince Pileggi925842441.4%BOS
235159Nick Goodchild925642035.7%BOS
273159Dave Spedding925331426.4%BOS
290159Michael Parak925131019.6%EDM
33166Connor Brewster917074970.0%BOS
33166Mason De Petrillo917074970.0%BOS
126166Tyler Dominato916363555.6%BOS
154166Carl Pledger916153150.8%BOS
214166Keith Weidner915852543.1%COL
321166Gwen Clark-Smith9146112.2%TOR
77172Austin Neilson906664263.6%EDM
77172Adam Marrus906664263.6%COL
91172Thomas Cheyne Matheson906564061.5%BOS
91172Barbara Kennedy906564061.5%BOS
91172Corby Fine906564061.5%BOS
203172Mouli Ramani905952847.5%EDM
220172Jamie Sarner905742442.1%BOS
220172Andrew Cionga905742442.1%BOS
273172KC Swink905331630.2%TOR
281172Brett Kirkpatrick905231426.9%BOS
51182Amy van Steendelaar896874769.1%NYR
91182Campbell Clark-Smith896564163.1%BOS
91182Corey Messer896564163.1%BOS
91182Mitch Wexler896564163.1%BOS
106182Scott Poitras896463960.9%BOS
106182Hugh McShane896463960.9%EDM
220182Levi Berges895762543.9%COL
182182Joel Kronis896053151.7%BOS
182182Ingrid Randoja896053151.7%BOS
281182Scott Lee895231528.8%EDM
303182Michael Varriano89493918.4%BOS
303182Aaron Allard89493918.4%BOS
303182Harper Christie-Allard89493918.4%EDM
303182Pierre Allard89493918.4%CAR
312182Nicholas Koss89482714.6%TBL
203197Greg Jones885953050.8%BOS
220197Mohan Krishnamoorthy885752645.6%BOS
220197Sean Bones885752645.6%BOS
77200Stacy Robichaud876674568.2%COL
77200Shain Griffin876674568.2%BOS
77200Jonathan Berges876674568.2%BOS
143200Cody Cabral876263759.7%NYR
143200David Gibbons876263759.7%BOS
203200Mark Jarman875963152.5%BOS
203200Andrew Tompkins875953152.5%BOS
203200Russell Reed875953152.5%EDM
214200Zayn Champsi875852950.0%VGK
235200Mark Matheson875652544.6%NYR
312200Ryan Thompson87483918.8%BOS
312200Jessica Thompson87483918.8%EDM
318200Stephen Lennie87473714.9%EDM
154213Hanna-Marea Kennedy866163659.0%BOS
154213Kerry McShane866163659.0%BOS
154213Dennis Clayton866163659.0%BOS
154213Dennis Winkler866163659.0%BOS
154213Josh Martin866163659.0%BOS
154213Andrew Ryan866163659.0%BOS
154213Tim Sowden866163659.0%COL
154213Gary Smith866163659.0%EDM
154213Jeff Williams866163659.0%COL
182213Shailyn Griffin866063456.7%BOS
253213David Loop865562443.6%BOS
235213Stephanie Paquette865652646.4%BOS
260213Amina Champsi865452240.7%NYR
260213Peter Seemann865432240.7%EDM
273213Marc Ennis865332037.7%BOS
106228Andrew Robichaud856474367.2%BOS
106228Jonah Rabinovitch856474367.2%BOS
106228Miles Shiffman856474367.2%BOS
106228Mark Lenarcic856474367.2%NYR
106228Andrew Hurst856474367.2%EDM
126228Edward Levens856364165.1%CAR
154228Ethan Craig856163760.7%EDM
154228Eli Hammerman856163760.7%EDM
154228Adam Bloedow856163760.7%BOS
182228Paul Ornstein856063558.3%BOS
182228Micheal Nguyen856063558.3%EDM
182228Ruth Beder856063558.3%COL
182228Rob Fennimore856063558.3%EDM
182228Norrin Ripsman856063558.3%EDM
182228Iver Dart856063558.3%EDM
182228Mark Norman856063558.3%NYR
182228Alon Blumberger856063558.3%BOS
260228Chris McAdam855452342.6%EDM
260228Isaac Nielsen855452342.6%NYR
273228Will McGee855352139.6%BOS
297228Erica Jeffery855031530.0%DAL
318228Owen Thompson85473919.1%BOS
318228John Thompson85473919.1%EDM
203251Mark MacDonald845963457.6%BOS
253251Ryan Chirnomas845552647.3%EDM
260251Gareth Neilson845452444.4%EDM
281251Craig Stairs845232038.5%NJD
297251S Ripsman845031632.0%BOS
77256Trevor Harding836674974.2%BOS
143256Estella Mae Charlotte Kennedy836274166.1%BOS
143256Lucas Chua836274166.1%COL
182256Aaron Pretto836063761.7%BOS
203256Tom Nicholl835963559.3%BOS
214256Mark Brewster835863356.9%EDM
220256Garen Roukhkian835763154.4%COL
220256Elaine Weidner835763154.4%BOS
260256Doug Frazier835462546.3%BOS
220256Adam Jamieson835753154.4%BOS
290256Kevin Pinto835141937.3%EDM
154267Joel Greenstein826174065.6%NYR
154267Rebecca Gaudreau826174065.6%BOS
154267Steve Vinette826174065.6%COL
154267Quinn Jarman826174065.6%BOS
220267Frank Peragine825763256.1%NYR
220267Wesley Frew825763256.1%BOS
220267Blair Phillips825763256.1%BOS
235267Richard Gretzinger825663053.6%BOS
290267Daisy Marquez825132039.2%BOS
182276Hung Dang816073965.0%COL
235276Erin Jones815663155.4%BOS
235276Peta Allard815663155.4%EDM
235276Allan Crisford815663155.4%COL
235276Stefano Picone815663155.4%BOS
235276Steven Hawley815663155.4%BOS
235276Sam Fielding815663155.4%EDM
235276Jeff West815663155.4%EDM
273276Jack Walker815362547.2%EDM
273276Jo-Anne Enzel815362547.2%BOS
312276Donna Thompson814831531.3%NJD
312276Andrew Daszczynski814831531.3%EDM
235288Chad Evans805663257.1%EDM
253288Denise Allard805563054.5%COL
253290Steven Mlotek795563156.4%BOS
260290Brandon Poitras795462953.7%BOS
260290Arely Marquez795462953.7%BOS
303290Tracy Smith794931938.8%CAR
273294Gary Brewster785362852.8%EDM
273294Aidan Fennimore785362852.8%EDM
281294Ethan Suski785262650.0%BOS
297294Ron Weidner785062244.0%BOS
290294David Wong785152447.1%TOR
235299Eli Day775673562.5%BOS
312299Hugh MacPhie774831939.6%BOS
253301Shane Kozlowich765573461.8%EDM
281301Karen Stern765262853.8%BOS
281301Todd Foster765262853.8%BOS
290301Manuela Marinello765162651.0%EDM
290301Neil Poitras765162651.0%BOS
290301Ted Kennedy765162651.0%NYR
143307Mark Sarner756274979.0%BOS
260307Bianca DeSantis-Peragine755473361.1%TOR
260307Jeff Lucas755473361.1%BOS
297310Claudia Scarciolla-Winkler745062652.0%NYR
260311Dave Bagnell735463564.8%BOS
303311Tom Sheahan734962551.0%BOS
321311Cyril Beaman734631941.3%BOS
338314Lori Winkler71383513.2%BOS
203315Andre Dube695984983.1%BOS
253315Dan McGee695574174.5%BOS
253315Brandon Kubis695574174.5%TBL
326315Doug Adlam694461943.2%BOS
331315Samuel Wexler694141331.7%BOS
326315Paul Groba694431943.2%BOS
281321Lauren Messer685263669.2%BOS
321321Andrew Mckenzie684662452.2%BOS
331321Colin McSweeney684131434.1%BOS
220324Cooper Levens675784782.5%COL
297324Shane Davey675063366.0%EDM
303324Trey Schaft674963163.3%BOS
336324Claudine Lukawesky673931128.2%TOR
331328Fraser Gallop654161741.5%BOS
331329Mike van Steendelaar634161946.3%WPG
331329Stephanie Robichaud634161946.3%DAL
321331Joy Smith584663473.9%COL
326332Shawn Robichaud574463170.5%BOS
338333Cheryl Rich563862052.6%TBL
297334Christopher Mossey535084794.0%BOS
329334Laurena Clark534363376.7%LAK
330334Hugh Freedman534263173.8%NYR
336337Tyler Beaman513962769.2%VGK
303338Eddie J W Kennedy4949949100.0%COL
325339Desmond Desrosier4545945100.0%BOS
338340Stephen Craig433863386.8%NJD
341341Paula Kozlowich413482779.4%WPG







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